Saturday, June 18, 2022

1991: How P. V. Narasimha Rao Made History, by Sanjaya Baru (Author).

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1991: How P. V. Narasimha Rao Made History 
by Sanjaya Baru  (Author)  
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After regime changed in 2014, it was as if nation breathed, a long deep breath. It reflected in everything, including films. Within a couple of years there were not only startling changes in nation's dealing with the terrorist attacks that had become routine during the previous decade, but it reflected immediately in films.

One weekend that year was very remarkable and remains in memory as shining, less in events and more in terms of effect of a couple of films. "Uri ..." was, of course, expected to have that impact. 

"Accidental Prime Minister" was, at the other extreme, had evoked few expectations other than that of a good performance by the seasoned performer in title role. But this was only a five percent of the final, immensely surprising impact, at the end. Apart from the complete delight by the artist playing the narrator, the background of the tapestry was the real pleasure, the author Sanjay Baru. 

So getting this one was almost totally due to his name, and a small part to the subject, a very capable PM of India who was subsequently, especially post his demise, humiliated in a way unimaginable in any other nation or culture not supposedly a totalitarian dictatorship. 

And the introduction already fulfills expectations far more than raised by the name of the author, who is a delight in his intelligent and honest discourse, the way Arun Shourie, Tavleen Singh - and few, too few others in the climate created by decades of congress regimes post independence have been. 

To anyone who lived through the era, reading this introduction merely brings a "yes, that's so" affirmation, and a pleasure of coming across the honesty and intelligence, quietly, so rare when political scenario until 2014 was mostly of regimes that promoted fodder thefts and raised worse thieves to positions undeserved, with rare exceptions of eras - 1977-79, subsequent BJP years at turn of millennium - all too short, when a lot of hopes were dashed all too soon as the corrupt returned to power.

Nobody tells the story of the proverbial Lutyen's Delhi and its elusive, famous leading figures as well as this author,  not even Tavleen Singh, an intimate of the said Lutyen's Delhi. He paints so clear a portrait of situations, personae and various facets of the story, economic and political, history and personalities, with backgrounds filled in, that it's simultaneously familiar and a revelation. 

One is reminded of Arun Shourie, in the honesty and intelligence, as well as Tavleen Singh, in her portrayals of events and personae, added to the Intelligence and honesty. Sanjaya Baru occupies a middle ground. 

One has little clue if any of his ideological inclination, unlike Arun Shourie who impresses more also with his exhaustively thorough research into diverse topics he rakes up. But one gets a fleeting impression of someone who knows a lot more than he'd reveal, despite being g not quite as much an insider of Lutyen's Delhi as Tavleen Singh. 
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"Guiding India through new and hitherto uncharted terrain, in that fateful year, PV became the man of the moment. It is a tragedy of Indian politics that PV’s leadership on the economic, foreign policy and domestic political fronts has not received the recognition it deserves. His own party let him down, on the specious plea that his inaction during the destruction of the Babri Masjid in Uttar Pradesh in December 1992 had alienated the Muslim community. That is another story altogether, and one which begins in 1985 with Rajiv Gandhi and his advisers opening the doors of the Babri Masjid to Hindus who wished to pray there."

Blaming him rather than Rajiv Gandhi was the typical fraud Congress perpetrates routinely, permanently defying two names in India and condemning others to every garbage heap unless they are permanent slaves wearing masks of those two names. And this particular blame laid against him is fraudulent at every one of several levels. His real crime as far as Congress went must have been his being known as a PM at all, instead of a puppet or a joke, despite being neither European nor Nehru or Gandhi or muslim. 
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Author quotes, in appendix, the address by P.V. Narasimha Rao at Tirupati session in full. 

It'd be good if it were worth quoting. But it's full of the Congress lies, such as commitment to Gandhi and nonviolence (forgetting 1984?), claiming Congress was democratic but people fooled into voting against it in 1977, and more of the sort. 
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"For his part, PV is the only prime minister who has left behind an entire book explaining his side of the story on a major issue of his tenure. In PV’s view, as he sums up in the book, Ayodhya: 6 December 1992, published posthumously, ‘I tried to explain all these things to my colleagues, but on their side also political and vote-earning considerations definitely prevailed and they had already made up their minds that one person was to be made historically responsible for the tragedy, in case the issue ended up in tragedy. If there had been success (as there definitely seemed to be, in the initial months) they would of course have readily shared the credit or appropriated it to themselves.’

"The real collapse of the Congress occurred in the 1980s. PV held everything together. He helped stabilize the economy and make the strategic shifts India was required to make in the post-Cold War era, recognizing the nature of the emerging multi-polar world. Of course, PV had his flaws and made his mistakes. Of course, there was much that was wrong with his government. But, in that one year, 1991, he offered quiet, sober and competent leadership to a nation unnerved by multiple crises and unforeseen changes and challenges. 

:From vanaprastha he was on the verge of taking up sanyasa. He was called upon to be a karmayogi. For the leadership he provided in that fateful year PV deserved the Bharat Ratna. It is a sad commentary on this nation of ours that we do not know who our real heroes are and do not know how to honour them."

Baru has elsewhere mentioned him being blamed for mishandling 1984. Neither congress nor Baru nor most people, until recently, are willing to point a finger towards where real abdication of responsibility, if not outright guilt of genocide of innocent, lay. 

But then, how few even name Suhrawardy in context of Calcutta massacres of ten thousand Hindus in three days, as per orders of Jinnah, beginning 16th August 1946? 

Or how often is name of Noakhali mentioned in the real context, of massacre of 150,000 Hindus at time of Hindu festivals, after the Calcutta massacre? 

Instead the name of Noakhali is used as glorification of Gandhi, who eventually nowhere close, claiming he succeeded in establishing peace - and showing how Hindus were dissuaded from retaliation by his fasting. 

Obviously, no such dissuasion of the other side, from massacre of Hindus - immediately, and occasionally thereafter - was aimed at, much less expected. It's continued, including the train at Godhra set on fire in 2002,  burning hundreds of pilgrims to death, including women and children, old and young alike. 

Neither the then PM, nor the then home minister, are blamed directly for 1984 massacre, in Delhi or in Punjab or throughout India - except claiming mishandling by home minister, who really didn't hold power, PM being present when massacre began. So harping on BJP leaders for guilt about 1992, or 2002, is sheer fraud, not merely hypocrisy.

It's ironical that while they claim he was to blame for alienating a  very appeased minority, they have no compunction claiming to be Hindu and denying the very existence of Rama, categorically and officially, in public! But then they even question the very existence of India, that too in Parliament, in extremely offensive terms. 

Sushama Swaraj replied to the last one, more than comprehensively. But point remains, thst in all but name, Congress had turned India into an Abrahamic dictatorship, introducing a bill that parallelled inquisition - anyone of two later abrahmic minorities, Abrahamic-II and Abrahamic-III, could simply claim a Hindu had done something to displease, and the accused was to be indefinitely imprisoned without habeas corpus, no recourse to law or hearing; smaller minorities, however, were not accorded such rights, nor were Hindus; and,  of course, thus was all strictly one way. 

Even now, when it's about any object of worship of Hindus, anyone questioning or abusing the said object, or Hindus, is considered deserving of rights to free speech- while anyone responding with facts admitted throughout history by adherents of Abrahamic religions is not only immediately questioned but is demanded beheading of, by not just the said adherents, but those appeasing them under a fraudulent label of secularism. That last, of course, is led by congress. 

Refugees in Delhi circa 1947-48 were far more realistic. They had to be. It was their lives staked by those asking them to return and be murdered cheerfully with love for murderers suffusing their beings!  
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"It is a measure of his modesty that in his own lifetime he never made any claims about either making history or how he would be judged by it. In that sense, he had internalized the qualities of a sanyasi."

"If he had succeeded in conducting nuclear weapon tests in the winter of 1995, as he had planned to, his tenure would not only have begun with a bang but also ended with one, so to speak. In the event, he left the opportunity to test and declare India a nuclear weapons state to his friend and successor, Atal Bihari Vajpayee."

In fact India failed during tenure of congress due to the operating style of the then regime. It wasn't that "he left the opportunity to test and declare India a nuclear weapons state to his friend and successor, Atal Bihari Vajpayee" as much as that the style of functioning of said regime, changing even marginally then, made the difference. Major difference was, allowing those who could, unfettered by red tape and incompetent sycophants. 
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"All these developments were politically significant both for the country and the ruling party. For the first time in years the Congress was learning to function once again like a normal political party. It is interesting to note that in PV’s semi-autobiographical work of fiction, The Insider, ... "

" ... PV’s observations, articulated through the various protagonists in the story, were his way of commenting on his own party. Within a decade of assuming power, Indira Gandhi changed the INC beyond recognition. In 1951, the INC was given the election symbol of two bullocks carrying a yoke. When the party split in 1967, the breakaway group that Indira Gandhi headed, called the Indian National Congress (Requisition)—INC (R)—because a group of Indira supporters ‘requisitioned’ a meeting at which the split with the original ‘organization’—INC (O)—was made official, was given the symbol of ‘cow and calf’. Few at the time made much of the fact that the cow and calf symbol represented the implicit hereditary succession in Congress leadership, from Nehru to Indira. Indeed, even fewer would have noted that this was equally a sign of things to come."

" ... As late as in 1966, Indira Gandhi was the only second-generation leader to step into a parent’s political office, albeit with a lag."

Baru has erred, if history of congress party as such is taken into account. Motilal Nehru had, through Gandhi, ensured in 1930 that party presidentship passed from him to his son, although party choice that year was Sardar Patel. Gandhi did this again by pushing out the elected popular president Subhash Chandra Bose via almost illegal conduct, and then ensuring he was thrown out. 

So Indira Gandhi was third generation as far as Congress Party’s presidential position is concerned. 

"It is possible to suggest that the first step towards inherited political power came when Motilal Nehru urged Mahatma Gandhi to name his son Jawaharlal as Congress president. Motilal did that on more than one occasion and Gandhiji obliged, to the dismay of both Subhas Chandra Bose and Vallabhbhai Patel. While Bose rejected Gandhiji’s preference for Nehru, Patel was too much of a loyalist to question the Mahatma. The Mahatma’s grandson, Rajmohan Gandhi, a distinguished scholar in his own right, records in his book on the Mahatma, The Good Boatman, ‘Presiding at Lahore, Jawaharlal declared that he was “a republican and no believer in kings and princes”, but the succession from father (Motilal) to son seemed to send Jawaharlal’s mother Swaruprani into “a sort of ecstasy”, and there were admiring references to “a king passing on the scepter of the throne to his logical successor”. ... "

That drama was repeated recently in party and family. 

" ... Gandhi, champion of the rights of the halt and the lame, the last and the least, had unwittingly launched a dynasty.’"

Unwittingly?

"It is this seed of hereditary succession that grew into a full-blown tree of family rule in Indira’s time. Dynastic politics took a huge leap forward in 1975 when Indira Gandhi brought her son Sanjay into the decision-making circle of her party. In 1980, Indira Gandhi returned to power as though she had a divine right to rule India. The durbar that had come into being during the Emergency and remained loyal to her after she was ousted in 1977 reinforced the image that she was the natural leader of government. Without inhibition she elevated her son Sanjay Gandhi to the status of heir apparent. Those who resented Sanjay’s bossism within the party and government were sidelined. A new generation of brash, young, socially upwardly mobile wannabes including Akbar Ahmed, Gundu Rao, Rukhsana Sultana, Jagdish Tytler, Kamal Nath, Ambika Soni, Bansi Lal and so on, acquired prominence both in party and government.

"No other national or even major regional political leader had till then so inducted a family member into politics and policymaking. Ideology-based parties of the political Left and Right were never touched by this syndrome. The elevation of Sanjay Gandhi to a position of unquestioned power heralded a new phase of politics in India wherein a political party leader’s family became the core of the party’s power structure. Following this precedent, most regional and caste- or community-based political parties have adopted dynastic succession as the method of leadership transition. 

"Not surprisingly, therefore, when Sanjay died in a plane crash in June 1980 the coterie around Indira who ran party affairs ensured that Rajiv Gandhi, then an Indian Airlines pilot, was inducted into the party’s leadership. Rajiv’s induction after Sanjay’s death happened as if it was the natural order of things. ... "
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"Before PV at least four senior political leaders—three of them ex-Congressmen—tried leading non-Congress governments in New Delhi: Morarji Desai, Charan Singh, V. P. Singh and Chandra Shekhar. All of them failed. Most of them were in office for less than a year. PV, however, demonstrated his staying power within a year. He did this not by becoming authoritarian, but by being democratic in his instincts, consensual in his approach and, above all, transactional in his dealings. His style of slow decision-making and not revealing his mind often frustrated people. But, over time, it became a new principle of political management—not taking a decision is also a decision. 

"Within the span of a year PV showed that the Indian economy and polity could dream of normal times, of better times; that India would enter the twenty-first century as an open society, an open economy and a normal democratic polity. India was no banana republic in which one family would rule. India was not a closed economy in which bureaucratic socialism would crush free enterprise. India could now aspire to be like many other democracies—a nation built on meritocracy and individual enterprise in which feudal privilege would no longer give anyone an advantage at birth."

"In 1998, when Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee was unseated by a vote of no-confidence, Sonia made an abortive bid to become prime minister. She was thwarted by Mulayam Singh Yadav who withdrew support to the Congress-led government after indicating an initial willingness to offer it.

"In May 2004, when the Congress was once again in a position to form a minority government leading a coalition, the family coterie pushed for Sonia to become prime minister. This time she wisely chose not to. ... "

Wisely, nothing. Has Sanjaya Baru missed the frank admission by Dr Subramanian Swamy telling different audiences about how she was all set to be PM, when he saw her own nomination for herself amongst the (over five hundred or so) nominations individually signed by various makers of party, as he went by invitation for lunch with the then president of India, Dr, Kalam? 

Dr Subramanian Swamy had informed Dr Kalam of the illegality of such a possibility, since constitution of India was particular about reciprocity; and an Indian couldn't be even a municipal official in Italy! 

Thus informed, the president took steps, and as Dr Subramanian Swamy tells, when he called her, sobbing was witnessed; a coterie of Italian friends and relatives, after all, was present, having travelled all the way to watch an Italian enshrined at the position of PM of India! 

Later the speech giving it a turn of individual choice was much publicised as choice, but subsequently the law (against an Italian or another foreigner from similar country becoming PM of India) was, reportedly, changed during the 2004-14 decade. 

Someone on internet argues this change as being independent of policies of other nations (who prevent Indians from comparable positions). 

" ... However, the party adopted a new methodology to select its prime minister. It elected Sonia as the chairperson of the CPP. Sonia was then authorized to ‘nominate’ the head of government.
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"It was only in May 2014 that once again a single party with a simple majority was able to form the government. This time it was a government of the BJP, headed by Narendra Modi. The Congress, led by Sonia Gandhi and her son Rahul, experienced its worst ever rout in history, securing 44 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha. 

"During the intervening years the Congress Party disowned PV. His name was virtually erased from the party’s public memory. When he died, the party shut the gates of its headquarters and refused to bid official farewell to a former president. His crime: seeking to end the proprietary control of the INC by the Nehru-Gandhi family. PV died on 23 December 2004. In the decade since then the only Congress leader who has regularly and religiously paid tribute and honoured PV’s memory on the occasion of his birth anniversary has been Manmohan Singh—the man whose political career was made by PV. But even Manmohan Singh was unable to honour PV with a Bharat Ratna during his decade-long tenure as prime minister. The party had again become a proprietorship."

Baru isn't recounting here but has done so in his more famous work, The Accidental Prime Minister - about the graceless way the once PM of India was dealth with after his death, by further kicking out of the deceased PM by the party, at instructions by the party president - how she insisted his son not even conduct his funeral in Delhi, but take his body back to Andhra Pradesh for the purpose, with no one from party allowed to be present, much less from government or Parliament. 
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"In the Indian subcontinent the tone for the 1980s was set by two significant developments in India’s wider neighbourhood. First, the emergence of Deng Xiaoping as China’s new leader. Second, the Soviet Union’s invasion of Afghanistan and the joint Pakistan-US led jihadi campaign against Russia. Under Deng began the inexorable rise of China. Thanks to Soviet action and US response in Afghanistan, Islamic radicalism knocked at India’s door. 

"Deng blew the dust off Zhou Enlai’s Four Modernizations of 1963 and launched, in 1978, his own revolution for the modernization and transformation of China. The modernization of agriculture, industry, national defence and science and technology were Deng’s four priorities. Deng’s assumption of power was preceded by a rapprochement between the People’s Republic and the United States of America. This altered the Cold War balance of power across Eurasia and the Asia Pacific region. Not only had India’s strategic environment been altered, but Indian attitudes towards nation-building and modernization began to change."

"According to Dixit, Indira sent Foreign Minister Narasimha Rao to Moscow to persuade the Soviets to withdraw from Afghanistan. Soviet Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko called on her, asking her to ‘understand’ what factors led to the ‘Soviet initiative’, as he put it. Mrs Gandhi merely let him know that she had heard what had been said and had ‘taken note of it’. She stopped short of expressing her ‘understanding’."

Did India fail to recognise the threat of jihadists that had been inserted by Pakistan, specifically by Zia, into Afghanistan, leading the country's then president to ask USSR for urgent help? This was part of the Green crescent strategy by Reagan and Kissinger to surround USSR, pursued independently by Pakistan in tandem, as part of an agenda towards world conquest in name of faith to justify its own existence. 

" ... But despite tentative Indian efforts there was no qualitative change in the US-India relationship during the 1980s. "

Seeing the efforts by Reagan and Kissinger to use Pakistan and China towards breaking up USSR, and their disdain for India that was a slightly less virulent version of Nixon's openly abusive language referring towards Indira Gandhi, with a background of the general attitude of colonial racism that expected India to grovel and hated India for not kowtowing, what else could one expect from the then Republican regime of US while India wasn't about to go on knees (- and still won't)? 

After FDR, and JFK, the only US leadership actually friendly to India instead of tacitly or openly supporting jihadist terrorism against India by Pakistan has been Donald Trump, and perhaps to a much smaller extent, Clinton during his visit, but not necessarily before the visit. 
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"In this decade of flux, the external environment was far from comfortable for India. In many ways, India’s unwillingness or inability to think its relationships anew, the rekindling of old suspicions with respect to the West, a new discomfort with an old friend, the Soviet Union, and the changing equations in Asia defined the 1980s. India retreated into an old comfort zone hosting the Non-Aligned Summit in 1983 and building new equations with other developing countries in associations such as the G-77 and G-15."

"India’s investment in South-South links and developing country partnerships were not particularly helpful when it came to dealing with the balance of payments crisis. In fact, in order to deal with this crisis, India’s finance minister, Yashwant Sinha, had to turn to the world’s rich, the Group of 7 (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the US), for help, even if in vain. His counterpart in Tokyo did not even have time to meet him. Japan was busy doing business with China."

And yet, reciprocation from China was to oppose every move by Japan on world political stage, citing WWII history, assumptions underlying being any misbehavior by China was only right - treatment of Tibet and Tibetans being only one glaring example, threatening and attacking India periodically another, treatment of its own citizens an unacknowledged one that includes huge genocide to the tune of a hundred million, and generally bullying every neighour and claiming and occupying island territories, arguing that the nomenclature "South China Sea" justifies China claiming such ownership of everything therein. 

If that were conceded, shouldn't India be conceded ownership of Indian Ocean, and be paid hugely for islands therein, along with passage fees by every vessel and every plane transiting during last millennium to begin with?
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"As that long decade came to an abrupt end, global geopolitics shifted rapidly. India was caught unawares, dealing simultaneously with political transition and economic crisis. While Chandra Shekhar was quick to grasp the implications of the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, Indian diplomats and strategic thinkers took time to understand what these changes in the global environment would mean for India."

They hadn't got it even post Kargil, when Israel was a huge help while few others were anywhere near helpful in a comparable range. Diplomats from India at UN had, nevertheless, despite instructions specifically otherwise, voted against Israel in UN, disobeying orders from the then government of India!
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"By the time PV took charge the picture was clearer. Speaking to the Economic Times in July 1991, on the options available to the government on the economic policy front, a chastened Yashwant Sinha observed: ‘The budget will mark a major departure from the kind of economic policies that have been followed since Independence. Policy will have to be viewed in the context not only of the dramatic collapse of the USSR and Eastern Europe, but also of the decisive victory of the United States in the Gulf War. The impact of these two events should not be underestimated.’ 

"The implosion of the Soviet Union had more than geopolitical consequences for India. It also had profound economic implications at a particularly difficult time. In 1990 the Soviet Union and Eastern European countries that had rupee payment arrangement for trade with India accounted for 17 per cent of India’s total external trade. This share collapsed to 2 per cent in 1992. The sharp decline in rupee trade and the Russian insistence on moving away from the rupee-rouble arrangement to hard currency payments, especially for oil, imposed a further burden on India’s balance of payments. Officials in the ministries of finance and commerce were busy managing the crisis at home as well as the consequences for India of the crisis in the Soviet Union."

"In December 1991, the Chinese Premier Li Peng visited New Delhi. A new phase in India-China relations was quietly inaugurated and resulted, in 1993, in the two Asian neighbours who had fought a war along their border in 1962 signing the historic Agreement on the Maintenance of Peace and Tranquility along the Line of Actual Control in the India-China Border Areas. Whatever the continuing tensions between India and China over the years, this agreement ensured that no more lives were lost along the border in the subsequent quarter century."

That only lasted so long as China’s need for respite until they were ready to strike again, as usual. 
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"The impact of the new turn in economic policy and India’s global economic reintegration on her diplomacy is clearly brought out by the contrasting remarks of two distinguished foreign ministers. 

"In an interview to the Times of India given in 1993, the diplomat Natwar Singh remarked: ‘In my 31 years of service I never once spoke on economic issues. We thought it was infra dig to do so and left it to our commercial officers.’ 

"On the other hand, in the same news report, the foreign minister of the day, Dinesh Singh, was quoted as saying: ‘The work is cut out for our missions abroad. They will not only act as sales offices for marketing India’s new economic environment but will also be responsible for communicating the feedback from the local government and business community. Above all, they should actively seek foreign investment and new markets for India’s exports.’"

It's startling to realise that the latter name is one familiar from late sixties. 

"The export push that followed the balance of payments crisis required India to place greater emphasis on relations with the world’s rapidly growing markets of East and Southeast Asia. As foreign minister in Indira’s cabinet, PV had travelled extensively around the region and was impressed by the development experience of Singapore, Malaysia, the Republic of Korea and Hong Kong. In Singapore he quickly established a warm and purposeful relationship with its premier, Goh Chok Tong, who spoke of an ‘India fever’ gripping the island nation.

"A natural consequence of this search for markets and investment was PV’s ‘Look East Policy’. PV overturned India’s longstanding reticence to dealing with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and actively sought closer links with its member countries. Focused on taking advantage of China’s new policy of openness, Japan neglected India in the 1990s. Finance Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto, the man who had no time for Yashwant Sinha in early 1991 did visit India in late 1991 but no investment was forthcoming."

Baru is refraining from explaining history thereof, of Jawaharlal Nehru and subsequent congress led Indian regimes treating Japan and Formosa with disdain, hostility and contempt, even after the 1962 debacle of supposed friendship with China. This, in spite of  - or was it because of? - history of Japan not only helping Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose in his aim of freedom for India, but the immense regard and loyalty showed him by Japan and its top leadership, especially military. 
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"The outreach to Southeast Asia, through a ‘Look East’ policy and the outreach to West Asia, packaged in a new pragmatism, were shaped by the evolving Indian view that its geopolitical and geo-economic interests spanned a much wider circumference around the subcontinent than that suggested by the post-Independence geographical construct called ‘South Asia’. ... "

If by 'construct', Baru means a made up name to hide reality and wipe of memory thereof, the viciousness of the term is still evident - for it's only what was once called India, regardless of political fividions thereof, for tens of millennia, by those not of the kind and her culture, belonging to it, but were outsiders. 

" ... India had already rejuvenated its ancient cultural links with Southeast Asia, and Nehru had tried to forge post-colonial political links, ... " 

Is Baru unaware of how congress, especially Jawaharlal Nehru, dealt with neighbour's other than China? He'd on a visit to Indonesia told them it was "Coca-Cola land", to which they'd factually enough replied to the effect that they had to accept help where they could find it! 

" ... but it was left to PV to forge new economic ties in the context of the end of the Cold War and India’s own economic opening up. India sought closer economic ties with Japan, Republic of Korea, Taiwan, member nations of ASEAN and even China."

"Even China", presumably, refers to China's vicious behaviour of 1962 and subsequently at least one skirmish at border in twentieth century, latter not very publicised. 
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"Turning to the West, PV entered 1992 elevating the India-Israel relationship to the diplomatic level. India’s economic rise required West Asia’s energy resources as much as India’s growing middle-class population needed the employment and business opportunities being generated in West Asia."

Baru seems uncomfortable referring to Israel. Else why talk of West Asia when referring to Israel? Fact is, that's another area where India, following Gandhi, erred morally and ethically. Excuse given by later discussions and policy was, any relationship with Israel would draw wrath of Arab nations. But most of West has managed it well enough. The kowtowing to Islamic lands to the extent done by India prior to 2014 was a choice following Gandhi uncritically and unthinkingly.
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"India had extended recognition to Israel in Nehru’s time and did have consular relations. It even hosted a secret visit by General Moshe Dayan, the Israeli defence minister, in the late 1980s. But it was in January 1992 that the two countries established formal diplomatic relations. The decision about Israel had many dimensions to it. First, Israel was a potential supplier of defence equipment. With the implosion of the Soviet Union India had to diversify its sources of defence imports; in 1990, the Soviets supplied as much as 90 per cent of India’s defence equipment. Attempts to diversify sources and bring in European suppliers suffered a blow on account of the Bofors controversy. Israel was a new and a good option. 

"Second, India wished to get out of the West Asian trap by maintaining good relations with all regional powers—Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt and Israel. Finally, Israel opened new doors for India in the United States. The powerful Jewish lobby in the US held the key to many doors in the corridors of power and wealth along the US East Coast. India was seeking money and a new strategic equation with the world’s biggest economy and the sole superpower. Establishing diplomatic relations with Israel was one more initiative towards that end."

Considering Israel Knesset's first resolution was thanking India because it was the only kind where, for centuries, millennia, Jews had lived with dignity and freedom of worship without any fear of persecution, all due to Hindu culture not persecuting others, recognition of Israel was the least India owed. And a friendly tie with a nation that shared either India the question of survival when surrounded by what US terns "green crescent ", is only wisdom. 
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"PV’s first foreign tour as prime minister was, however, to Germany. He told Parliament that this decision was shaped by economic considerations. The US victory in the Cold War might have turned the world ‘unipolar’ in military terms, PV told the Lok Sabha in September 1991, ‘but in the economic sense it is multi-polar, it is multi-centric’. 

"Germany lay at the heart of the new European project. The unification of the European market would create a new global economic entity led by Germany. That is why, PV explained, he chose to make Germany his first port of call. 

"In emphasizing the emerging global economic multi-polarity at a time when geopolitical analysts were all focused on US military power and the new ‘unipolar’ world that they thought would replace the dying ‘bipolar’ Cold War era, PV was prescient. The US had an exaggerated sense of its military power at the end of the Cold War and got embroiled in military conflicts in Eastern Europe and West Asia, while China quietly built its economic capability. Today’s multi-polar world has been built on the foundations of globally dispersed economic development, especially the rise of China as an economic superpower."

That last would be impossible had US not bent over backwards helping.

"European geopolitical analysts have only recently begun to view Germany as a ‘geo-economic power’, but PV’s remarks in Parliament in 1991 suggest an early Indian appreciation of the changing nature of international relations in the post-Cold War era. To view the world as multi-polar or multi-centric, as PV did, because of the global dispersal of economic power, without being overwhelmed by the concentration of military power among a few, shows a very sophisticated strategic mind at work. 

"In PV’s time, when the US still enjoyed overwhelming military power, only a few scholars like Samuel Huntington at Harvard, were emphasizing the importance of economic power. We now know from Sitapati’s biography of PV that he was in fact familiar with Huntington’s writings and may well have been aware of how historians and strategic analysts were beginning to view the nature of power in the post-Cold War world. Once the brief post-Cold War ‘unipolar moment’ was over, with the US-led fiasco in Iraq, the global balance of power was increasingly shaped by geo-economics. Nothing symbolized this better than China’s rise as a trading superpower."

"Even as he improved relations with ASEAN, PV became the first Indian prime minister to travel to the Republic of Korea. In Seoul, he urged Korean chaebol to invest in India in a big way. In 1991, there was no major Korean brand available in the Indian market. A decade later, Samsung and Hyundai had become household names across the subcontinent. In the months to come India would also take steps to establish closer links with Taiwan."

" ... Building bridges with Germany, Japan, Republic of Korea, Taiwan and the member countries of ASEAN was a natural response of a country seeking to stabilize its external economic profile, rebalance relations between major powers and accelerate the rate of growth of the economy. In the years that followed it was this thinking that defined the role of BRICS—the coalition of middle powers—Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa."
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"The Nehru-Indira era in foreign policy was defined by multiple imperatives: (a) the Cold War and a desire to remain outside the military blocs of that era; (b) India’s quest for a global role as a post-colonial nation committed to the empowerment of other nations of the global South; and (c) India’s own development needs. ... "

Baru hasn't either realised it or isn't saying it. Nehru, inspired by and attempting to follow example of Gandhi, 
(- who hadn't been content to use passive resistance for political aims but had instead strive towards an ambitious image as man of nonviolence and more, often going to extreme and often at cost of his own people -),
was trying to carve a niche in global history, build an image of himself as a messenger of peace and friendship, someone who dared to speak against colonial powers of West in general; so much so he didn't see realities close - Tibet occupied by China, Tibetans losing their rights and homelands - just as Gandhi didn't see he was damaging those he demanded extraordinary, inhuman levels of sacrifices from, all without any point. 

" ... This phase began to end in the 1970s. The 1980s was a decade of flux in Indian foreign policy. On the one hand, India would host the Non-aligned Summit and propose universal nuclear disarmament, on the other, it would reach out to the West and quietly build its own nuclear capability. This incipient pragmatism of the 1980s found freer expression during PV’s time and after. Indian foreign policy was increasingly defined by the demands of economic development and India’s reintegration into the global economy. India needed markets, technology, capital. India wanted a quieter and more stable neighbourhood. India had to catch up on the development front with East and Southeast Asia. India needed an assured supply of energy and access to new employment opportunities for Indians in West Asia."

Those were more realistic assessments and aims. 
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Baru begins final chapter by summing up Chandra Shekhar, PV Narasimha Rao and Rajiv Gandhi in context of 1991, giving credit to last two, and saying 

"Rajiv contributed to the Congress victory in 1991 with his life. It was his dastardly assassination that gave his party the numbers to form a government. In that hour of crisis, the diminutive, retiring PV stepped up."

If, living and working in Delhi as a journalist that Baru did then, he was unaware of the 1984 massacre mislabelled conveniently as 'riots' were in fact well pre-planned ahead and involved Congress party members directing so-called mobs, Baru couldn't have been much of a journalist. Else he's avoiding mentioning major factors unrelated to his thesis. 

As for Chandra Shekhar’s stepping down, it was result of Rajiv Gandhi’s attempts to turn him too into a puppet, which backfired. Chandra Shekhar has always been known throughout his life and career as an honest, upright man. He did not place ambition, whether personal or larger, above values. This quality cannot be manipulated by those seeking to achieve aims other than welfare of nation. 
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"Guiding India through new and hitherto uncharted terrain, in that fateful year, PV became the man of the moment. It is a tragedy of Indian politics that PV’s leadership on the economic, foreign policy and domestic political fronts has not received the recognition it deserves. His own party let him down, on the specious plea that his inaction during the destruction of the Babri Masjid in Uttar Pradesh in December 1992 had alienated the Muslim community. That is another story altogether, and one which begins in 1985 with Rajiv Gandhi and his advisers opening the doors of the Babri Masjid to Hindus who wished to pray there."

Blaming him rather than Rajiv Gandhi was the typical fraud Congress perpetrates routinely, permanently defying two names in India and condemning others to every garbage heap unless they are permanent slaves wearing masks of those two names. And this particular blame laid against him is fraudulent at every one of several levels. His real crime as far as Congress went must have been his being known as a PM at all, instead of a puppet or a joke, despite being neither European nor Nehru or Gandhi or muslim. 
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"For his part, PV is the only prime minister who has left behind an entire book explaining his side of the story on a major issue of his tenure. In PV’s view, as he sums up in the book, Ayodhya: 6 December 1992, published posthumously, ‘I tried to explain all these things to my colleagues, but on their side also political and vote-earning considerations definitely prevailed and they had already made up their minds that one person was to be made historically responsible for the tragedy, in case the issue ended up in tragedy. If there had been success (as there definitely seemed to be, in the initial months) they would of course have readily shared the credit or appropriated it to themselves.’

"The real collapse of the Congress occurred in the 1980s. PV held everything together. He helped stabilize the economy and make the strategic shifts India was required to make in the post-Cold War era, recognizing the nature of the emerging multi-polar world. Of course, PV had his flaws and made his mistakes. Of course, there was much that was wrong with his government. But, in that one year, 1991, he offered quiet, sober and competent leadership to a nation unnerved by multiple crises and unforeseen changes and challenges. 

:From vanaprastha he was on the verge of taking up sanyasa. He was called upon to be a karmayogi. For the leadership he provided in that fateful year PV deserved the Bharat Ratna. It is a sad commentary on this nation of ours that we do not know who our real heroes are and do not know how to honour them."

Baru has elsewhere mentioned him being blamed for mishandling 1984. Neither congress nor Baru nor most people, until recently, are willing to point a finger towards where real abdication of responsibility, if not outright guilt of genocide of innocent, lay. 

But then, how few even name Suhrawardy in context of Calcutta massacres of ten thousand Hindus in three days, as per orders of Jinnah, beginning 16th August 1946? 

Or how often is name of Noakhali mentioned in the real context, of massacre of 150,000 Hindus at time of Hindu festivals, after the Calcutta massacre? 

Instead the name of Noakhali is used as glorification of Gandhi, who eventually nowhere close, claiming he succeeded in establishing peace - and showing how Hindus were dissuaded from retaliation by his fasting. 

Obviously, no such dissuasion of the other side, from massacre of Hindus - immediately, and occasionally thereafter - was aimed at, much less expected. It's continued, including the train at Godhra set on fire in 2002,  burning hundreds of pilgrims to death, including women and children, old and young alike. 

Neither the then PM, nor the then home minister, are blamed directly for 1984 massacre, in Delhi or in Punjab or throughout India - except claiming mishandling by home minister, who really didn't hold power, PM being present when massacre began. So harping on BJP leaders for guilt about 1992, or 2002, is sheer fraud, not merely hypocrisy.

It's ironical that while they claim he was to blame for alienating a  very appeased minority, they have no compunction claiming to be Hindu and denying the very existence of Rama, categorically and officially, in public! But then they even question the very existence of India, that too in Parliament, in extremely offensive terms. 

Sushama Swaraj replied to the last one, more than comprehensively. But point remains, thst in all but name, Congress had turned India into an Abrahamic dictatorship, introducing a bill that parallelled inquisition - anyone of two later abrahmic minorities, Abrahamic-II and Abrahamic-III, could simply claim a Hindu had done something to displease, and the accused was to be indefinitely imprisoned without habeas corpus, no recourse to law or hearing; smaller minorities, however, were not accorded such rights, nor were Hindus; and,  of course, thus was all strictly one way. 

Even now, when it's about any object of worship of Hindus, anyone questioning or abusing the said object, or Hindus, is considered deserving of rights to free speech- while anyone responding with facts admitted throughout history by adherents of Abrahamic religions is not only immediately questioned but is demanded beheading of, by not just the said adherents, but those appeasing them under a fraudulent label of secularism. That last, of course, is led by congress. 

Refugees in Delhi circa 1947-48 were far more realistic. They had to be. It was their lives staked by those asking them to return and be murdered cheerfully with love for murderers suffusing their beings! 
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" ... 1991 was the year in which the Congress Party grabbed the opportunity to return to its origins as a national political party, and not just one more of the many family-dominated parties. Since then the ‘Indira Congress’ has morphed into the ‘Sonia Congress’. Can the party once again claim to be the Indian National Congress, as it could at Tirupati in 1992?"

Unlikely. 

If once thinkers and honest idealists were deluded into joining the party that pretends democratic values, today its morphed into an honest mafia led by a family ensconced at top that has thrown out every possible claimant including other members of family, as soon as clouds changed. 

"Today the BJP and the Communists are among a handful of political parties that can claim that their political future is not a function of the physical longevity of their current leadership and that the emergence of a new leadership is not a function of their family and kinship ties."

And communists, Abrahamic-IV as termed by another author, are still kowtowing to China when not joining other abrahmics, specifically Abrahamic-II and Abrahamic-III, to attack everything of India. 
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"It is a measure of his modesty that in his own lifetime he never made any claims about either making history or how he would be judged by it. In that sense, he had internalized the qualities of a sanyasi."

"If he had succeeded in conducting nuclear weapon tests in the winter of 1995, as he had planned to, his tenure would not only have begun with a bang but also ended with one, so to speak. In the event, he left the opportunity to test and declare India a nuclear weapons state to his friend and successor, Atal Bihari Vajpayee."

In fact India failed during tenure of congress due to the operating style of the then regime. It wasn't that "he left the opportunity to test and declare India a nuclear weapons state to his friend and successor, Atal Bihari Vajpayee" as much as that the style of functioning of said regime, changing even marginally then, made the difference. Major difference was, allowing those who could, unfettered by red tape and incompetent sycophants. 
................................................................................................


Author quotes, in appendix, the address by P.V. Narasimha Rao at Tirupati session in full. 

It'd be good if it were worth quoting. But it's full of the Congress lies, such as commitment to Gandhi and nonviolence (forgetting 1984?), claiming Congress was democratic but people fooled into voting against it in 1977, and more of the sort. 
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 Contents
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Introduction 

1.January: The Politics 
2.March: The Crisis 
3.May: The Elections 
4.June: The Government 
5.July: The Reforms 
6.November: The Party 
7.December: The World 
8.The Middle Way 

Acknowledgements 
Appendix 
Notes and References 
Index
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REVIEW 
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Introduction 
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" ... We cannot understand 1991 without understanding the role of the political leadership that made the policy changes of 1991 possible. In that fateful year, India saw new political leaders emerge out of the shadows of the Delhi durbar, who set a different course for the country to follow. Equally responsible for political and economic change were global whirlwinds of various sorts. This book is an account of the politics, the economics and the geopolitics that combined to make 1991 an important year in India’s recent history. But without doubt, the central character was PV. The year made him. He made the year. For India, it was a turning point."

" ... It was a landmark year. 

"And yet, the commonplace view is that 1991 was eventful because of an economic crisis that forced India to take a new turn in its economic policies. But 1991 was about more than just that. It was also the year in which Rajiv Gandhi was assassinated and the Soviet Union imploded. In that dark hour, a diminutive, uncharismatic Congressman rose to the occasion. 

"PV was India’s first ‘accidental’ prime minister, and a path-breaking one. He took charge of the national government and restored political stability; assumed leadership of the Congress, proving that there was hope beyond the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty; pushed through significant economic reforms; and steered India through the uncharted waters of the post-Cold War world. 

"PV, as I shall henceforth refer to Narasimha Rao, not only ruled a full term but his policies ushered in a new era and gave new direction to national politics. He was an unlikely prime minister but a seminal one. Unlike the many short-lived prime ministers before him—Gulzarilal Nanda (May-June 1964, 11-24 January 1966), Morarji Desai (March 1977-July 1979), Charan Singh (July 1979-January 1980), Vishwanath Pratap Singh (December 1989-November 1990) and Chandra Shekhar (November 1990-June 1991)—PV was not even a Member of Parliament on the day he was named India’s twelfth prime minister."

"The economic crisis of 1991—an external payments, or a balance of payments crisis, to be precise—was in fact the consequence of a political impasse India found itself in. A series of political and economic events of the 1980s came to a head around 1990-91. India was on the verge of defaulting on its external payments obligations, with foreign exchange reserves dwindling rapidly as oil prices went up, exports went down and non-resident Indians began withdrawing their deposits in foreign currency accounts in India.

"While this situation can, in part, be attributed to unexpected and extraneous factors like the Gulf War of 1990-91, one important reason for the precipitous fall in foreign exchange reserves was a loss of confidence in the Indian government’s ability to deal with a difficult economic situation. That difficulty was almost entirely on account of the political brinkmanship and populism of a variety of political actors. In the end, it was politics that trumped economics.

"The economic crisis of 1991 was as much a consequence of bad economic management of the preceding half decade during the tenures of Rajiv Gandhi (1984-1989) and V. P. Singh, as it was of the political choices they made. That is, the responsibility for the events that combined to push India to the brink of default must lie with Rajiv Gandhi and V. P. Singh. It was then left to Chandra Shekhar and Narasimha Rao to arrest the slide and clean up the mess. And the credit for understanding the seriousness of the situation and acting in time must go to the two of them."
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"Like the shift away from the Congress system in political management, the turn away from Nehruvian economics to what one may rightfully describe as ‘Narasimhanomics’ occurred through several gradual moves, beginning with Indira Gandhi’s decision to enter into a borrowing programme with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in 1981. This shift gained pace during Rajiv Gandhi’s tenure in the 1980s.

"However, Indira Gandhi was defensive and tentative in the policy reform she chose to undertake after 1980. She made much of returning the last tranche of the IMF loan and ending the programme when faced with criticism from the Communist parties. Her modest attempt to change course would always be viewed against the radicalism of many of her earlier policies. In fact, the licence-permit raj and many restrictions on business enterprise were post-Nehruvian and the contribution of Indira Gandhi. Rajiv Gandhi too was defensive in his liberalization moves, not wanting to be viewed as pro-business. As the economist Jagdish Bhagwati observed, ‘[Rajiv Gandhi’s] reforms were hardly revolutionary in conception or in execution. In retrospect, they amounted to an acquiescence in the regime but a mild attempt at moderating its worst excesses.’ 

"PV was unabashed about his moves. The ‘credibility’ of his initiative, as Bhagwati notes, was ‘far greater’. He was convinced that the ancien régime (the licence-permit raj) must go. And that is what he made happen. Within a month of taking charge PV dismantled it in one fell swoop. Indian enterprise, PV believed, would bloom if liberated from the straitjacket of bureaucratic socialism. It is worth noting that he was the only prime minister who had the political courage to confer a business leader with the nation’s highest honour, when he bestowed the Bharat Ratna on J. R. D. Tata. No businessman has since been so honoured."
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"India’s sovereign credit ratings had gone up and down over the years but never before had any rating agency pointed to ‘political risk’ as a reason for downgrading India. That happened in October 1990. In December 1990 Chandra Shekhar committed his government to implementing policies that could have averted a balance of payments crisis. His finance minister, Yashwant Sinha, entered into a fiscal stabilization and structural adjustment programme with the IMF. If he had been allowed to present his government’s budget in February 1991, and undertake the reforms the government had promised the IMF it would, confidence in India would have been restored. That did not happen.

"The global environment too was in a flux. The end of the Cold War and the implosion of the Soviet Union had altered the strategic environment shaping Indian foreign policy. China, for a long time a dragon asleep, or at least one with its head hidden between its legs and looking inward, was emerging as a more open and dynamic economy. Asia to India’s east was rapidly moving ahead, while Asia to India’s west was embroiled in conflict. The delicate balance of power in West Asia was rudely disturbed when Iraq’s Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait. India felt the impact of this destabilization as oil prices shot up."
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" ... The story that most economists like to tell is that in 1991 good economics drove out bad economics. Few have made the point that in that historic year, good politics also drove out bad politics. By good politics I mean good political management. PV’s wisdom came to India’s rescue. The brinkmanship, the one-upmanship, the short-termism of the 1989-91 period, driven by the petty political ambitions of myopic and inexperienced leaders, was replaced by a long-term vision of a long distance runner. True, Chandra Shekhar too could have been India’s man of destiny. But destiny chose PV."

"I have often been asked how one should evaluate the tenure of a prime minister. My reply has always been that one must compare the nation, the polity and the economy that a person inherits the day she takes charge with the state of affairs when one demits that office. By that yardstick Jawaharlal Nehru was a great prime minister at the end of his first decade in office. His image and legacy were dented by the last five years of his tenure, especially the border war with China in 1962. Indira Gandhi entered the history books by supporting the struggle for the liberation of Bangladesh. But her management of the economy was patchy. All the prime ministers who had short-lived tenures during the 1960s, 1970s and 1980s and Rajiv Gandhi did not leave the kind of imprint that would earn them a place in the history books. PV did. He steered the country through a period of political uncertainty, economic crisis and shift in the global balance of power. 

"The initiatives that PV took within a year of assuming office have since defined the post-Nehruvian era in India. The policy shift on the economic front was the more obvious of the changes and the one that has received the most academic attention. Less appreciated have been the shifts on the foreign policy front, both within Asia and around the world, and the interrelationship between the two. Finally, there was the new turn on the political front with the era of single party dominance giving way to an era of coalitions."

" ... The manner in which PV dealt with each of these challenges marks 1991 as a ‘landmark’ year, to use Hobsbawm’s term. After 1947 it was, without doubt, the single most important year in India’s contemporary history."

" ... The ‘Indira Congress’ once again became the Indian National Congress at the 1992 Tirupati session of the AICC. The party briefly came out of the long shadow of the Nehru-Gandhis. ... "

"The story of 1991 begins with external events impacting India. Through the spring, summer and monsoon months, domestic economics and politics shaped the course of events. In the winter of 1991 tectonic shifts in the global balance of power altered India’s strategic environment. 

"India entered 1991 with trepidation. As the year came to an end it found its feet."
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June 17, 2022 - June 17, 2022. 
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1. January: The Politics 
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"In the early hours of 9 January 1991, a giant United States Air Force’s transport aircraft, the C-141 Starlifter, lowered its body onto the tarmac of Bombay’s Sahar International Airport (now called Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport). While on a flight from a US airbase in the Philippines to a base in the Gulf the aircraft decided to refuel in Bombay. Operation Desert Storm, the US attack on Iraq, aimed at liberating Kuwait from Saddam Hussein’s occupation army, was about to be launched. The US armed forces were gathering men and material in countries surrounding Iraq in preparation for an attack. 

"Information of the aircraft’s arrival and departure was conveyed by the Intelligence Bureau to the then cabinet secretary, Naresh Chandra. Chandra decided that the prime minister should be briefed immediately. Prime Minister Chandra Shekhar, an ex-Congressman and a quintessential Congress socialist, was angry. Why would the United States want to implicate India in its campaign against Iraq’s strongman, Saddam Hussein? Saddam had been friendly towards India, the only Arab leader to support India against Pakistan on the Kashmir issue. But then Chandra reminded the prime minister that Saddam had now become a terrible dictator, ready to destroy any opposition. He had become unpopular among the Arabs and was engaged in a territorial dispute with Iran. Moreover, India needed US support in securing assistance from the IMF. It was time for India to rethink its approach."

"The foreign office was, however, divided on Iraq. Some felt Saddam was still a useful friend of India and so the government should deny refuelling facilities to US military aircraft henceforth. Others felt that Saddam’s actions had already imposed a heavy burden on India not only by pushing oil prices up but also by creating uncertainty for thousands of Indians living in Kuwait. Moreover, there was no evidence that the aircraft that had already refuelled and left was carrying any military hardware. It, and those to follow, may have had only non-combat materiel.

"Even though India was a non-aligned nation during the Cold War, it had reached out to the US for military assistance when attacked by China in 1962, and to the Soviet Union in 1971, in preparation for the liberation of Bangladesh (when the US and China had ganged up on Pakistan’s side). It was now India’s turn to respond to a US request for help.

"Chandra Shekhar’s major concern at the time, apart from ensuring the political survival of his minority government, was to get the IMF to extend balance of payments support to India. India’s foreign exchange reserves were rapidly dwindling, and it had thus approached the IMF, the lender of last resort, in December 1990. The United States was the largest shareholder on the IMF board, and in that capacity had virtual veto power when it came to the authorization of loans. The US could hurt India by not supporting its loan application.

"Back in 1981 the US had threatened to do just that when Indira Gandhi’s government approached the IMF for a US$5 billion extended fund facility. At that time, the US wanted more forthright criticism of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan than what Indira Gandhi had been willing to make. Not that Indira was not critical of the Soviets. When the Russian supremo, Leonid Brezhnev, asked Indira, ‘I want to get out of Afghanistan. Please show me the way,’ she is reported to have said, in a tone that implied disapproval, ‘The way out is the same as the way in.’ 

"The US sought a more public condemnation of the Soviets. But India still needed the Soviets, not least because they were still the most important suppliers of defence equipment. The rupee-rouble trade also made USSR an important trade partner, with a share of over 16 per cent in India’s total trade. India’s executive director on the IMF board, M. Narasimham, was advised to tell the Americans that if the US did not support India’s application then India’s dependence on the Comecon (Council for Mutual Economic Assistance), a Soviet-led economic grouping including socialist economies and the allies of the Soviets, would only increase."

"As US strategic policy guru Henry Kissinger explained in a column in the India Today, the purpose of the US intervention in the Gulf was not to dethrone Saddam, but to ensure that no one country emerged as a regional hegemon in the new post-Cold War world. Whatever the merits of US strategy, the fact is that Saddam’s invasion of Kuwait gave the US an early opportunity to define the new rules of engagement in the emerging post-Cold War world. India understood the game in time."

"Chandra Shekhar trusted the cabinet secretary’s judgement. He chose to remain quiet. The US aircraft were only landing to buy fuel, and this was permissible under international law. The only minor concession India had to extend was to forgo checking the cargo aboard the aircraft and take the declaration in the manifest as factual. The declaration did not list any military hardware or troops on board. But who knew what was inside? The government did not insist on entering the craft to check what was on board. That was a conscious decision of the prime minister and his cabinet secretary. Chandra Shekhar’s helpful ‘pragmatism’ did not go unnoticed in Washington DC.
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"Over the next month, two US military aircraft landed every day at the Bombay, Madras and Agra airports, flying from the Philippines to the Gulf. Bombay’s Sahar airport and Madras’s Nungambakkam airport were civilian airports. Agra was a military airport. Moreover, Madras and Bombay can be regarded to be on a straight line from the Philippines to the Gulf. Agra was further north. Perhaps the fact that India allowed US military aircraft to land at a military airfield was in itself seen as an important gesture. The US also sought and secured transit facilities for its navy. On 21 January, the USS Ford, a guided missile frigate, docked at the Bombay harbour, also en route from the Pacific to the Gulf.

"For over two weeks these visits remained unreported. On 28 January 1991, the Times of India ‘spilled some hazardous beans’, as Inder Kumar Gujral, V. P. Singh’s foreign minister, observed in his autobiography. It was Gujral who had originally authorized the overflight of US military aircraft over Indian territory. He claims he had done so during peace time with no knowledge of any planned US attack on Iraq. Gujral had been severely criticized at home for hugging Saddam Hussein in a warm gesture of friendship even as Indian workers in Kuwait were living in fear of invading Iraqi soldiers."

"It was not surprising that many in India and around the world viewed the Chandra Shekhar government’s decision to permit refuelling of US military planes as a political concession aimed at securing US support for an IMF loan. It was also thought of as an early Indian response to the shift underway in the global balance of power with the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. Indian defence strategists were also aware that China had become militarily active in the Gulf, with growing defence ties to Iraq and Saudi Arabia. India could not afford to sit back on its haunches."
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"But the US administration wasn’t the only entity Prime Minister Chandra Shekhar had to keep happy that January. He had to keep the president of the Congress Party happy too. Remember, the prime minister was heading a minority government with the support of the Congress. His Janata Party had a mere 64 members in the 529-member Lok Sabha, and he needed the support of Rajiv Gandhi’s 197 Congress MPs."

"It wasn’t that Rajiv did not understand the importance of growing US–India defence cooperation, particularly following his successful visit to Washington DC in 1985. In December 1990, President George Bush Sr. sent his assistant secretary of defence for international security, Henry Rowen, to New Delhi along with a large delegation of civil and military officials. While the US was looking at India as a potential partner in dealing with a resurgent China and a troublesome West Asia, India was viewing the US as a source of both technology and defence cooperation given the declining fortunes of the Soviet Union, the rise of China and the problems with Pakistan.

"But larger and long-term strategic issues were hardly on Rajiv’s mind; he had his own problems. Within two months of extending Congress’s support to Chandra Shekhar to form a government, he realized his folly. Chandra Shekhar had become a bigger problem than Rajiv could ever imagine. He was, after all, a former Congressman from Indira’s days and knew the Congress well. Rajiv suspected that Chandra Shekhar was getting together with powerful provincial Congress leaders like Sharad Pawar to lengthen the longevity of his minority government. He may have hoped to lure the Congress Party, in spite of Rajiv, to join a coalition government. He had Rajiv and his coterie at sixes and sevens.
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"Seized of the fact that the economy was in bad shape and needed urgent attention, Chandra Shekhar invited I. G. Patel to take charge as finance minister. Patel declined, opting for a quiet retired life in Baroda.

"Dr Indraprasad Gordhanbhai Patel, IG to those who knew him well, was an economist with a stellar reputation and years of experience in both the central government and international financial institutions. While IG was regarded by his peers as a thorough professional, the fact that he was from Gujarat and had worked directly under Morarji Desai, a fellow Gujarati, during Desai’s long innings as finance minister in Nehru’s and Indira’s governments, may have made Indira Gandhi regard him as ‘Morarji’s man’, as IG himself puts it in his autobiography. In 1972, after Indira’s politics had moved to the left and her relations with Morarji deteriorated further, IG moved to New York to join the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). When Morarji became prime minister in 1977, he invited IG to return to become the Governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Such was his credibility that when Indira Gandhi returned to power, in 1980, she allowed IG to complete the remainder of his five-year term at the central bank. In fact, in 1981, he was actively associated with India’s approach to the IMF for an extended financing facility (EFF) loan. 

"Soft-spoken, dapper and with an interest in the arts and music, IG was a renaissance man. He related with equal ease to fellow economists, civil service colleagues and politicians of all hues. Despite his long years in government he retained an academic’s curiosity and easy way of dealing with younger people. As director of the Indian Institute of Management-Ahmedabad (IIM-A; 1982-84) and later as director of the London School of Economics and Political Science (1984-90), IG was very popular with his students. Despite his own mainstream conservative outlook, he was always encouraging of young students with radical views."

"Even as IG declined the offer, economist-turned-politician Subramanian Swamy pressed his claim for the North Block job. However, Chandra Shekhar named Swamy minister for commerce and appointed Yashwant Sinha, a former civil servant who had quit the Indian Administrative Service to get elected to Parliament, as finance minister. Sinha’s preference was for external affairs but he readily agreed to wear the crown of thorns. His entry into the Ministry of Finance was baptism by fire."

"In December 1990, by which time Chandra Shekhar had taken over, India desperately needed dollars to pay for basic imports like oil and food. Chandra Shekhar’s hand was initially stayed by his left wing, socialist friends and advisers like economist S. K. Goyal. However, if Goyal’s ideological predilections inhibited him from advocating an approach to the IMF, the prime minister’s more pragmatic economic adviser, Manmohan Singh, would have no such inhibitions. More importantly, unlike V. P. Singh, Chandra Shekhar was willing to take political risks. If IMF support was not forthcoming, he would do whatever it took to prevent default. 

"‘If the Fund cannot extend a lifeline,’ Nayyar told Michel Camdessus, the managing director of the IMF during one of the meetings during the subsequent negotiations, ‘we will bring the shutters down!’"

" .... India qualified for CCFF support since it was hit by a spike in oil prices caused by Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait.

"While extending a helping hand, the IMF drew attention to India’s long-term problems. The mounting external debt situation had been made worse by the fact that the share of short-term debt had risen steeply in recent years. If India wished to avert a payment default, it would be better advised to enter into a medium-term structural adjustment and stabilization programme. Camdessus assured Rangarajan and Nayyar that increased IMF support would be available provided the Indian government was able to get its annual budget passed. 

"This condition had a dual implication. One, that the government would have to prove its majority in Parliament. Under Indian law if the government’s annual finance bill is rejected by the Lok Sabha, the government of the day falls. Under normal circumstances this would be a trivial condition. But the situation was not normal. Prime Minister Chandra Shekhar was still not sure if Rajiv Gandhi would allow him to present a regular budget and get it approved by Parliament. Two, the IMF would want to see some policy reform, including industrial policy and trade liberalization and reduction in the fiscal deficit through concrete measures to raise revenues, raise the price of fuel and other administered prices and curb expenditure. Politically speaking, all this was highly sensitive stuff. That would explain Rangarajan and Nayyar’s reaction to my entry into Arora’s room."
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"Chandra Shekhar’s growing confidence, even though he was heading a minority government, began to worry Rajiv Gandhi. Some of his advisers were convinced that Chandra Shekhar, the old war horse, would get a section of the Congress Party to challenge Rajiv’s leadership. In November 1990, after the fall of the V. P. Singh government, President Venkataraman had asked Rajiv if he would like to stake his claim, as leader of the single largest group in Parliament, to form the government. Rajiv had declined, assuring the president that the Congress would ensure political stability by supporting the Chandra Shekhar government at least for a year. The government of the day had several crises to deal with—the Mandal agitation for expanding the scope of reservations, the Mandir agitation aimed at building a temple for Lord Rama in Ayodhya, the insurgency in the Northeastern region and in Punjab, the unrest in Kashmir, the unease in Tamil Nadu following the aborted Indian attempt to help Sri Lanka eliminate the Tamil Tigers and, above all, the balance of payments crisis, with the lingering fear of an external default. 

"‘I asked Rajiv Gandhi if his support [for the Chandra Shekhar government] would continue at least for one year,’ recalls President Venkataraman. Rajiv replied, ‘Why one year? It may extend to the life of Parliament.’

"In his memoirs, the Nehru-Gandhi family loyalist Makhan Lal Fotedar tells us that Venkataraman despised Chandra Shekhar and did not wish to swear him in as prime minister in November 1990. Fotedar goes on to state that Venkataraman suggested to Rajiv that the Congress seek permission to form a government under the leadership of Pranab Mukherjee. 

"‘On this the President directed me, with an emphasis of authority, that I may put it to Rajiv Gandhi that if he supported Mr Pranab Mukherjee to be Prime Minister, he (the President) would administer the oath of office to him that same evening.’ 

"Fotedar even claims that Venkataraman ‘expressed caution against choosing Chandra Shekhar and made some adverse remarks about him’."

Baru quotes from autobiography of Venkataraman, the then president, against this perception, to the effect that he respected Chandra Shekhar and had no problem except the minority government lacking stable support. 

" ... By mid-February 1991 Rajiv Gandhi realized that allowing the government’s budget to be voted on in Parliament would not just help secure an IMF loan for India, but would in fact help extend the life of the Chandra Shekhar government. As we have noted, parliamentary approval of the budget is akin to a vote of confidence. It allows a minority ruling party to remain in government till it is displaced through a vote of no-confidence in a subsequent session of Parliament. This would mean Chandra Shekhar would remain prime minister at least until the convening of the monsoon session in July. To prevent this, Rajiv first forced a delay in budget presentation. Rather than allow the budget to be presented to Parliament on the last day of February, as is the norm, Rajiv demanded and secured a postponement to 7 March. 

"The Congress then upped its demand by insisting on a ‘vote on account’. A vote on account is a legislative device by which Parliament allows the government to continue spending so that the normal business of government can go on, and salaries are paid. The regular annual budget statement and the parliamentary approval of the ‘finance bill’ enables the government to legislate changes in tax policy. Through a regular budget the government can bring in new tax laws and raise additional revenue. A vote on account implies that government revenues are determined by existing tax laws. Deferring the presentation of a regular budget would also mean that no other legislative or policy business would get done and the important policy changes being demanded by the IMF would not get implemented."
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" ... Earlier that day, Congress MPs had disrupted Parliament accusing the Chandra Shekhar government of ‘snooping’ on Rajiv Gandhi. A controversy had been created. Most political reporters assumed it was just one of those political tantrums aimed at showing who was boss, given that Chandra Shekhar’s minority government depended on the Congress Party for survival. No one imagined that this tantrum would turn into a crisis.

"‘Of course the prime minister had not ordered any snooping on Rajiv,’ recalls Naresh Chandra, the cabinet secretary. According to Chandra, an ambitious official of the Rajasthan cadre of the Indian Police Service, desperate for a better posting, had placed two ill-trained Haryana state police constables outside Rajiv’s house to gather information that he hoped would be of some use to his political bosses in Haryana. The provocation, however, was enough to snap a brittle alliance. 

"The next morning, 6 March, Chandra Shekhar called on President Venkataraman and submitted his resignation. He felt he had been pushed around enough by an increasingly aggressive Congress and a paranoid Rajiv who accused the prime minister of personally organizing the spying on him. Venkataraman was most displeased at the turn of events. As a former finance minister (1980-82), and that too the one who had negotiated a loan with the IMF in 1981, Venkataraman was aware of the nature and seriousness of the economic situation India was in.

"He repeatedly cautioned Rajiv Gandhi not to destabilize Chandra Shekhar’s government and, in his own words, ‘was desperate to save the [Chandra Shekhar] ministry for at least another six months’ to enable it to negotiate a loan with the IMF and restore stability to the balance of payments. 

"Rajiv was taken aback by Chandra Shekhar upping the ante. ‘Rajiv wanted Chandra Shekhar to crawl, not resign’, read the headline of an Economic Times news report filed by Seema Mustafa that week.

" ... Rajiv requested Maharashtra Congressman Sharad Pawar, a friend of Chandra Shekhar, to intervene on his behalf and get the prime minister to withdraw his resignation. Only two days earlier, on 4 March, Rajiv and Chandra Shekhar were in Baramati, Maharashtra, attending Pawar’s daughter Supriya’s wedding. 

"Pawar called on Chandra Shekhar and told him that there had been some misunderstanding. ‘Congress doesn’t want your government to fall. Please withdraw your resignation.’ 

"An angry Chandra Shekhar shot back, ‘Go back and tell him that Chandra Shekhar does not change his mind three times a day.’

"If Prime Minister Chandra Shekhar was livid, his finance minister was worried. He had a deal with the IMF. If he presented a reform-oriented budget, the Fund would give India a lifeline that would avert a balance of payments crisis. Rajiv Gandhi had thrown a spanner in the works. 

"Accepting Chandra Shekhar’s resignation, President Venkataraman dissolved the Lok Sabha and asked him to continue as caretaker prime minister until the new government was formed. Venkataraman notes in his autobiography that he felt ‘sorry’ to see Chandra Shekhar go."
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June 17, 2022 - June 17, 2022. 
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2. March: The Crisis 
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"In 1987, Moody’s had given India an A2/ Prime 1 investment grade rating. India had survived Indira Gandhi’s assassination and Rajiv Gandhi’s government seemed focused on economic modernization. In its assessment of the Indian economy at the time Moody’s noted that: (a) India had a conservative tradition of keeping its external exposure within manageable limits; (b) that the government would maintain a steady pace in policy adjustment which would address such issues as the already high budget deficit and public enterprise inefficiency; and (c) it would undertake policy reform aimed at removing restraints on competition in the industrial sector. 

"At that time, Moody’s also assumed that macroeconomic policy formulation and implementation in India would be coherent, consistent and timely, and that policy in the areas of most concern to the expansion of India’s export-earning capacity would remain relatively immune from any turbulence in India’s political arena. 

"In hindsight these seem brave, perhaps naïve, assumptions. It could also be asked if Western rating agencies were ‘talking up’ India at a time when other developing economies were in trouble, especially in Latin America and Africa, and global investors were looking for a good place to put their money in. This is no empty speculation. At least some people in the Ministry of Finance believed that Western rating agencies had boosted India’s ratings in the second half of the 1980s, encouraging Indian borrowers to liberally borrow abroad and pile up external debt. Then, as if acting in tandem, they downgraded India in 1990, making an already precarious balance of payments situation worse.

"Moody’s reassessment of the India risk in August 1990 drew attention to the fiscal implications of the V. P. Singh government’s decision to write off a part of the loan given by banks to farmers; the fiscal and economic impact of extending reservations; and the likelihood of a minority government taking adequate policy action to deal with growing external uncertainties. V. P. Singh’s populism and ‘a review of events since late 1987’, as Moody’s put it, had raised concerns about each of the three assumptions it had made in 1987. But it was not just a weakening of India’s economic indicators that Moody’s worried about. Its risk assessment report drew attention to increasing communal tension, continued tension in Punjab, Kashmir and the Northeast, and the situation in Tamil Nadu arising out of India’s aborted involvement in the conflict in Sri Lanka."

"When the Chandra Shekhar government was formed in November 1990, it had a pretty good idea of how bad the economic situation was. Officials and economic advisers in government had fully briefed their political bosses. Blueprints had been prepared on what was to be done about fiscal, trade and industrial policy. But what India’s political leaders had to come to terms with was that it was not just India’s ‘economic risk’ that had gone up, so had its ‘political risk’.'

" ... For the first time in 1991 a minority government, bereft of any mandate, had been charged with the responsibility of dealing with an external payments crisis. For the first time, ‘political risk’ appeared on the radar of rating managers monitoring India.

"On Thursday, 7 March 1991, Standard & Poor’s, who had been a step behind Moody’s till then, downgraded India’s sovereign rating to BBB minus for long-term credit risk and to A3 for short-term credit risk, based on the conclusion that ‘adverse economic conditions or changing circumstances are more likely to lead to a weakened capacity of the obligor to meet its financial commitments’. The ‘obligor’ in question was the government of the Republic of India. The ‘changing circumstances’ was a reference to political uncertainty and, as the rating agency saw it, the sharp upturn in political risk. A policy Lakshman rekha India had never crossed was of defaulting on its external payment obligations. That ignominy now stared India in the face."
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"Indira and Rajiv Gandhi were prime ministers for twenty-two of the twenty-seven years covered by Joshi and Little. From Nehru’s time and through till the end of the 1970s, the Indian government had acquired a favourable reputation for its ‘fiscal conservatism’, thanks to what Joshi and Little term the ‘Gladstonian fiscal outlook’ of the Indian Civil Service, implying a commitment to ‘sound finance’ defined by balanced budgets. Even though the central government ran budget deficits during Nehru’s and Indira’s time, these were kept within manageable limits and many state governments ensured they had a revenue surplus. As populist pressures built up and political leaders began succumbing to them, budget and fiscal deficits mounted."

" ... Summing up their sharp indictment of the macroeconomic policies of the Rajiv Gandhi government, Joshi and Little concluded: 

"The major mistake of macroeconomic policy lay in neglecting the danger signs evident in 1985-86 on the fiscal front. Fiscal deterioration was allowed to proceed apace. As a consequence, the current account deficit continued to worsen and domestic and foreign debt continued to increase at a dangerous rate. By the end of the decade, the macroeconomic fundamentals were out of joint. Even a strictly temporary shock like the Gulf War was enough to trigger a full-scale crisis."
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"Taking charge of a difficult situation, both Chandra Shekhar and Yashwant Sinha quickly put in place an economics team of high competence. Manmohan Singh was appointed adviser to the prime minister. He had just returned to India after a stint with the South Commission in Geneva before which he had been the central bank governor and deputy chairman of the Planning Commission. Finance Secretary S. Venkitaramanan, a highly regarded civil servant, was named governor, RBI. Yashwant Sinha got his own team into North Block with S. P. Shukla as finance secretary. With a new team still learning the ropes, the two who were till then minding the store, so to speak, Rangarajan and Nayyar, became the key actors and tasked to negotiate with the IMF. 

"Sinha took several measures to slow down the outflow of foreign exchange and reached out to several developed economies for help. India’s traditional donors were requested to speed up the transfer of aid funds. However, the message from most of them was simple—tap the IMF, secure its imprimatur at which point we can step in and help. India’s foreign exchange reserves had plummeted since August 1990 and Moody’s and the Japanese Bond Research Institute (JBRI) had already downgraded India’s sovereign credit rating. 

"In December 1990 Finance Minister Sinha recalls he had two ‘immediate priorities’. ‘First, to secure whatever assistance we could from the IMF on an emergency basis and, second, to prepare a path-breaking budget that would address the accumulated problems of the Indian economy.’

"Something drastic had to be done to shore up the reserves and the first act of desperation was to ‘bring the shutters down’ on imports, as the then chief economic adviser Deepak Nayyar described the government’s decision of 20 March to impose draconian physical controls on imports. Whatever was needed to be done to avoid a default would be done. The prime minister had no doubt that this needed to be done."

"But this was not enough. Squeezing imports reduced foreign exchange spending on the trade account. It was a solution on the demand side. But with dollars flying out of foreign currency accounts thanks to non-resident Indians losing confidence, the government had to get a grip on the capital account as well. A supply side solution was needed. The simplest, though politically tough, option available was to convert India’s gold stocks into hard cash. A proposal to this effect had been examined in detail by the RBI as early as December 1990. It was revived in March 1991, the decision was taken in April and executed in May.

"When Cabinet Secretary Chandra briefed Prime Minister Chandra Shekhar on the RBI’s recommendation, his initial reaction was one of disbelief and anger.

"‘I do not want to go down in history as the man who sold gold for buying oil,’ said a furious Chandra Shekhar. 

"‘But, sir,’ replied Chandra, ‘you have to choose between going down in history as the prime minister who mortgaged gold or as the prime minister who defaulted.’"

"Chandra Shekhar had to bite the bullet, so to speak. ... The prime minister authorized the mortgaging of gold to avoid default.

"Twenty metric tonnes of confiscated gold, worth US$200 million, held in its vaults was made available by the RBI to the State Bank of India for sale, with a repurchase option, to the Union Bank of Switzerland. This was the first time India was selling gold to avoid default and to ensure that its external payment obligations were met. 

"Both the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan demanded the actual shipment of gold to their vaults. It would not just be a paper settlement. Gold bars of acceptable quality had to be airlifted and sent out. Though the final shipments began only in July, after the Narasimha Rao government took charge, the groundwork had to be done in secrecy through the summer months. RBI governor Venkitaraman and deputy governor Rangarajan personally supervised the entire operation."
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June 17, 2022 - June 17, 2022. 
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3. May: The Elections 
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"Rajiv Gandhi was assassinated at Sriperumbudur near Chennai on 21 May 1991. On 20 May, the first phase of polling in the general elections had been conducted. The next day Rajiv set out to campaign for the second phase and arrived in Tamil Nadu. At a public rally a young woman walked up to him and pulled the trigger on the suicide vest she was wearing. Rajiv Gandhi and at least fourteen others were killed and many more injured. ... "

"Three generations of the Nehru-Gandhi family had ruled India for thirty-seven of the first forty-two years after Independence. Coalition and minority governments have been the rule since 1991, till Narendra Modi led the BJP to victory in May 2014, establishing a single party majority government for the first time since 1989. 

"On 22 May 1991, the Congress Working Committee (CWC) met and invited Rajiv’s widow, the Italian-born Sonia Gandhi, to take charge as Congress president. When this invitation was conveyed to Sonia, she declined the offer stating, according to Fotedar, that ‘she was not interested in active politics’."

"It was one thing to elect Rajiv as Indira’s successor, for he was already in active politics and had taken charge as the party leader, and it was quite another to elect to that position the foreign-born widow of a slain leader, who till that day had virtually had no involvement in politics and party affairs. ... "

"The consequent division in party leadership—between those who believed the Congress ought to have a future independent of the Nehru-Gandhi family and those who could not imagine such a future—has remained a fissure within ever since."
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"It was the middle of June 1991. Delhi was simmering. As results of the elections to the Lok Sabha rolled out, it was clear that the Congress would fall short of a majority but would be the single largest party. On 17 June, the Times of India carried a front-page news report quoting Maharashtra Chief Minister Sharad Pawar as saying that MPs from his state would play a ‘key role’ in deciding who would be prime minister."

"The next day, on 18 June, the Times of India’s Mumbai city bureau chief, Rajdeep Sardesai, filed a report headlined, ‘Pawar sets sights on Delhi’."

" ... At the height of its reign, the Maratha empire under the Peshwas of Pune did envelop Delhi, the seat of Mughal power, but, curiously, the Mughal residents in Delhi’s fort were left alone. The Peshwas remained in Pune. Even though the Marathas had vanquished the Mughals, no Maratha king ever sat on the throne in Delhi.

"The first Maratha leader to occupy a position of power in democratic India was Yashwantrao Balwantrao Chavan. The chief minister of Maharashtra in 1960-62, Chavan was always viewed as a potential prime minister. He began his career in national politics as defence minister in Jawaharlal Nehru’s cabinet immediately after the 1962 debacle. Chinese troops had crushed their ill-equipped and unprepared Indian counterparts along the disputed border between the two Asian giants in the high Himalayas. Chavan restored military morale and ensured adequate investments were finally made in defence. Of prime ministerial calibre, Chavan was widely viewed as one of the most capable members of Indira Gandhi’s cabinet. But he never made it to the top job. Sharad Pawar was his protégé and regarded Chavan his mentor and inspiration. Would the protégé now make history?"

" ... I drove my Fiat car into PV’s compound. PV’s personal secretary, Ram Khandekar, welcomed me as I alighted and walked into the house. On entering PV’s living room I found him seated, attired in his usual white cotton lungi and vest, chatting with fellow Congressman Bhagwat Jha Azad—a former chief minister of Bihar and father of cricket player Kirti Azad. I did my usual namaskaram. I was invited to sit down and offered a cup of tea. I asked PV what he thought of all the news reports in the Times of India about Sharad Pawar becoming prime minister. 

"‘It is a Bombay newspaper,’ said PV, nonchalantly. The metropolis was not yet called Mumbai and the TOI was at that time viewed as a Bombay daily. New Delhi’s leader was the Hindustan Times. 

"‘The editor [Dilip Padgaonkar] is Maharashtrian. Their political bureau chief [Subhash Kirpekar] is a Maharashtrian. All the reports are coming from Bombay. What else will they say?’ 

"Azad laughed. I did too. PV chuckled. I had my answer. 

"PV was a man of few words. Known for his refusal to respond to queries and demands for instructions from colleagues and subordinates (and his pout), PV became famous for the statement attributed to him: ‘Not taking a decision is also a decision’. For a man who knew a dozen languages (he could fluently read, write and speak over half a dozen) and was known to have had a series of romantic entanglements, he was surprisingly uncommunicative in person.

" ... I called on PV a few times after that. He was, in those months, preparing to move back to Hyderabad. His close aide, P. V. R. K. Prasad, a relative of mine and PV’s secretary when the latter was chief minister of Andhra Pradesh, would later tell me that PV was contemplating becoming a priest at the Courtallam Peetham. He had also planned to associate himself with the activities of the Bharatiya Vidya Bhavan’s Rajaji Institute and the Swami Ramananda Tirtha Rural Institute. In this connection he had been back in touch with my father, whom he had known from the day he became a member of the Andhra Pradesh state legislature in 1957. My father was then Collector of Karimnagar, the district in which PV’s Manthani constituency was located."

"In September 1971, PV was named chief minister of Andhra Pradesh as part of a deal to end an agitation for the bifurcation of the state and the creation of Telangana. Kasu Brahmananda Reddy from coastal Andhra, a Congress Party supremo in the state, had to step down as chief minister. While the agitation for a separate Telangana state was led by Chenna Reddy, also a Congressman who later formed the Telangana Praja Samiti, Indira Gandhi chose to name PV as chief minister rather than Chenna Reddy. He was viewed as a safe bet, a Brahmin without a political base in a state whose politics was dominated, at the time, by the Reddys, an economically well-off and politically powerful land-owning caste.

"As chief minister, PV pushed the implementation of land reforms, aimed partly at weakening the political base of the Reddy and Velama landlord communities in the Telangana region. An alliance of Backward Castes, Dalits, Muslims and Brahmins supported PV. But the coastal Andhra politicians, especially the Reddys and Kammas, proved smarter. They launched an agitation for the creation of a separate Andhra state and PV’s inability to deal with that situation resulted in the central government imposing President’s Rule in January 1973. PV then moved to New Delhi and was made a party general secretary."

" ... During the 1980s he headed all the top ministries on Raisina Hill, where the South and North Blocks are located, barring finance."

" ... He was later made external affairs minister. However, Rajiv rarely sought his advice on political matters. A new generation of Rajiv’s buddies and family cronies were now running the show. To be fair to Rajiv, there would have been a generation gap separating him from PV. This would have been made worse by the upper-class prejudices of his globalized Doon School friends. Rajiv lived in a world where everyone around him ate with forks and knives. PV was more comfortable eating with his fingers."

" ... When Rajiv went to Beijing in 1988 and had his famous meeting with Deng Xiaoping, PV, then external affairs minister, was kept out of all meetings. Ironically, it is PV who later came to be viewed as India’s Deng!

"PV had been elected to the Lok Sabha in 1984 and 1989 from Ramtek in Maharashtra. But he was denied a ticket in the 1991 elections. Realizing that Rajiv had intended to sideline him as he had Pranab Mukherjee, PV planned to go into political retirement. However, while Mukherjee had to quit the Congress Party (and was later rehabilitated), PV was merely denied an election ticket. Ironically, when Rajiv Gandhi was assassinated, PV chaired the CWC meeting that condoled his death.

"If Rajiv and PV lived in different worlds, Sonia and PV came from different planets. There was never any real social connect between the two. So PV could not have relied on getting her support. Instead he had to rely on the goodwill of elected Congress MPs, especially those from the south."
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"By end of day on 20 June, the Congress Parliamentary Party (CPP) elected PV leader. President Venkataraman then established an important parliamentary convention by deciding that he would invite the leader of the single largest group in the Lok Sabha to form a government and secure parliamentary approval within a month. Venkataraman was keen to ensure political stability at a time of economic crisis. He floated the idea of a ‘national government’ that would have the support of most, if not all, political parties. There were no takers for this idea. He then opted to invite PV but spoke informally to opposition leaders to ensure that the new government would not be voted out till it had pulled the economy out of crisis. At 7.30 p.m., on 20 June 1991, PV met the president and was invited to form the government. On 21 June, exactly a week before his seventieth birthday, he was sworn in as prime minister.

"Most recent memoirs of that time suggest that PV scored over Pawar and other aspirants like Arjun Singh, because Sonia Gandhi and the ‘family loyalists’ backed him. The behaviour of the coterie and the Congress leadership at the time seemed predicated on the premise that Rajiv Gandhi was destined to return to power as his mother did in 1980. They assumed India’s prime ministership was there for Rajiv’s taking; that, upon his death, it was for the heirs of Rajiv to decide who would be India’s next prime minister. Perhaps they assumed PV would be more biddable than any of the others. That he would be a loyal yes man, a mere rubber stamp, who would do as he was told because he was very old and a political non-entity. However, this remains a simplistic explanation. What is plausible is the theory that Sonia loyalists had few credible options apart from PV. According to Natwar Singh, Sonia was willing to back Shankar Dayal Sharma for the post, but he turned down the offer on account of poor health. Sharma was India’s vice-president at the time and had an entire year to go. He may well have preferred the guarantee of another year in that job to the uncertainty of heading a minority government. Sharma would have also assumed that he would be in line for presidentship in a year’s time. Five assured years as head of state seemed more reassuring than the uncertainty of heading a minority government."
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"Historians do not fancy counterfactuals. Economists, on the other hand, like to debate ‘what if’. Political scientists tend to be agnostic on the issue. Surprisingly few political analysts have asked the obvious counterfactual about 1991. What if Rajiv Gandhi had not been assassinated? Would the Indira Congress have been voted back to office? If the Congress had failed to get a clear majority, would Rajiv still have headed a Congress-led coalition? 

"The simple answer to those questions is: unlikely. ... "

" ... Rajiv was the beneficiary of his mother’s personality cult and there were enough of his acolytes within the party to foster his personal brand. But all that was of no use when popular support slipped away and rival political platforms gained ascendance. 

"The coterie would not give up so easily. When an internal coup in the Janata Dal forced Prime Minister V. P. Singh to quit office in November 1990, an attempt was made to re-install Rajiv as a minority prime minister. Family loyalist Fotedar claims he made the case to President Venkataraman. With 197 MPs in the Lok Sabha, Rajiv was the leader of the largest party in Parliament, Fotedar reminded the President. The Janata Dal had only 143 MPs, but had formed the government with the support of the Communist and other regional parties. Since that coalition had come apart, the leader of the single largest party should be asked to try and form a government. Venkataraman did not bite."

" ... As has been mentioned, according to Fotedar, Venkataraman was willing to swear in Pranab Mukherjee as prime minister. Clearly, he felt Mukherjee would be able to win over the required number. 

"Mukherjee himself has a very different recollection of what transpired at the time. ‘The President sought Rajiv’s views on the situation,’ recalls Mukherjee. ‘He then asked if, as the largest party, the Congress was willing to form the government. But the Congress once again declined. Rajiv indicated that the Congress would extend unconditional support to Chandra Shekhar if he formed the government.’

"If Fotedar was right, why then did Rajiv Gandhi extend his party’s support to Chandra Shekhar rather than risk Mukherjee’s elevation to prime minister? Circumstantial evidence suggests that Rajiv had intended to bring the government down at a time suitable to him so that he could return to the voters and seek another mandate to rule. Sharad Pawar, at the time chief minister of Maharashtra, concurs with this view: ‘Rajiv had propped up the Chandra Shekhar government merely as an ad hoc arrangement. Rajiv was only buying time so that the Congress could gear up for the next general elections.’"

" ... It was not on account of Rajiv’s political initiative that Chandra Shekhar had quit, but because the latter was no longer willing to remain a prime minister at Rajiv’s beck and call. Unlike V. P. Singh, who was a junior colleague of Rajiv’s before turning against him, Chandra Shekhar was a Congressman of the 1960s. He was angry about being pushed around by a political Johnny-come-lately and his coterie. Whatever the reasons, the Chandra Shekhar government was terminated. Elections were called. 

"Had Congress secured a clear majority in the Lok Sabha in the elections that followed, the president would have had to invite Rajiv to form the government. But the question that is moot is would the Congress have had the numbers? 

"That’s the key counterfactual of 1991. An India Today opinion poll conducted on 20 May, a day before Rajiv’s assassination, forecast only 190 seats for the Congress in the ongoing elections. The 1991 Lok Sabha elections were to be held in several phases. When Rajiv was killed on the second day of voting, other phases were postponed and subsequently held on 12 and 15 June."

" ... traditional Congress voters had not felt enthused enough to come out in large numbers and vote for Rajiv Gandhi on the first phase of polling. It is only after his assassination that they ventured out and voted in large numbers in favour of the Congress. The sympathy wave was also more pronounced in peninsular India than in the Gangetic Plain."
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" ... We know from Pranab Mukherjee’s autobiography that there was no love lost between him and Rajiv. As we know, Rajiv had expelled Mukherjee from the Congress Party in 1986. He returned from political exile to rejoin the Congress in 1988, but was not given any important responsibilities. At the time of the 1989 elections the Congress Party’s manifesto was in fact drafted by PV, and it was PV who sought to rehabilitate Mukherjee by seeking his help in its drafting.

"Finally, between 1980 and 1989, PV had held four of the five most important portfolios in the union government—home, defence, external affairs and human resource development. Mukherjee had only been finance minister and that too for three years from January 1982 to December 1984. 

"So the upshot of it all is that even if Rajiv Gandhi had not been killed in May 1991, the Congress could have at best formed a coalition government. Such a coalition, like all coalitions, would have required a compromise candidate as its head. The odds are that PV would have been the Congress prime minister despite not even being given a party ticket to contest the elections. ... "

" ... Pawar was assured of the support of only the 38 MPs from Maharashtra, while PV had the support of all the 89 MPs from the south. He would, after all, be the first south Indian to head a government in Delhi."

" ... The fact is that the Congress high command has always adopted one-on-one confidential consultations with elected MLAs as a way of picking winners for the post of chief minister in the states. This was the first time since Morarji’s challenge of Indira that the party had to choose between rival contenders for the prime minister’s job. It adopted the same procedure of confidential consultations in lieu of secret ballot."

"In short, PV was not ‘nominated’ as prime minister by Sonia Gandhi and her coterie. They may have tilted the scales in his favour, but that is also because they would have recognized that a large majority of MPs, almost a 100 out of the 227, hailing from the southern states, would have preferred PV over Shankar Dayal Sharma, Arjun Singh and even Sharad Pawar."
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"PV’s election as party leader showed that the Congress could still draw on its own resources and find an ordinary Congressman tall enough to become prime minister. There could still be life beyond a single family for India’s oldest political party. Younger leaders like Pawar, Arjun Singh, Madhavrao Scindia and many more could imagine, without being expelled from the party, that if PV could be prime minister, maybe they could aspire to succeed him. That is how normal political parties renew themselves—by giving hope to younger leaders. 1991 was that moment of hope for the Congress.

"It took PV a full two years to secure a majority in Parliament. In July 1993 his government won a vote of confidence in Parliament and further consolidated its position. This enabled him to complete his full term in office. No other prime minister from outside the Nehru-Gandhi family had done so until then. Not Morarji Desai from Gujarat, not Charan Singh or V. P. Singh from UP, not Chandra Shekhar from Bihar. As I have mentioned earlier, P. V. Narasimha Rao also became the first south Indian in history to govern India from Delhi. That too makes 1991 a milestone year."
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June 17, 2022 - June 17, 2022. 
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4. June: The Government 
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"‘The Mughals ruled India with the help of Kayasthas in their courts and administration. Even the Nizams of Hyderabad invited Kayasthas all the way from UP and paid them well for their services. So I decided I too must make the best use of them.’"

" ... PV’s familiarity with the Mathurs, Saxenas, Vermas, Nigams and Asthanas of Hyderabad helped him relate to the Kayasthas of the north during his tenure in Delhi."

"PV instinctively trusted his cabinet secretary and appreciated his wit and wisdom. After his stint as cabinet secretary, Chandra moved to the PMO as an adviser and tried to help PV deal with the Ayodhya issue. When PV chose to name him governor of Gujarat, BJP leader Atal Bihari Vajpayee was consulted and he immediately agreed. Chandra was India’s ambassador to the United States during the Pokhran-II nuclear tests conducted by the Vajpayee government, and played a stellar role in defending and safeguarding Indian interests."

"Chandra and Varma had an uneasy equation but that is how a clever prime minister would want it to be. Creative tension among subordinate officials is what smart political bosses prefer. While PV inherited Chandra, Varma came on the recommendation of P. C. Alexander, Indira Gandhi’s principal secretary in the early 1980s. PV relied greatly on Alexander’s advice in the first few days of his prime ministership, and it was at his suggestion that PV finally appointed Manmohan Singh as finance minister."

"Like Chandra Shekhar in November 1990, PV too first approached Patel and invited him to be the finance minister. Once again, IG declined."

"PV had known IG, through friends, for even longer than Chandra Shekhar. Their link was Mohit Sen, the CPI theoretician, admirer of Indira Gandhi and friend of PV from their Hyderabad days. Mohit and IG were friends from their time together at Cambridge University, England, in the late 1940s. Mohit’s association with PV was on account of his moving to Hyderabad in the 1960s after his marriage to another Cambridge contemporary, Vanaja Iyengar, a mathematics professor at Osmania University. ... Now that PV was to be prime minister, Mohit was eager to be helpful. He strongly backed IG’s name for the finance portfolio."

Baru recounts 1981 flashback. 

"As IG recalls, he had to travel around the world lobbying countries that had a say on the IMF board to secure their support for India’s loan application. The US, which had veto power, was initially not supportive of India’s application and wanted to impose stiffer conditionalities. IG had to lobby hard with a large number of Western and developing countries to ensure that India’s loan application would get IMF board approval. PV was then external affairs minister and was keenly aware of IG’s role and global influence. He also became acutely conscious of the nexus between geopolitics and economic policy choices."

" ... Kalyani Shankar, a political journalist who knew PV well, believes he wanted to offer IG the commerce portfolio after P. Chidambaram had resigned in July 1992. On the other hand, PV’s aide and media adviser Prasad does not rule out the possibility that PV wanted another economist in the government as a back-up just in case Dr Singh chose to quit, unable to deal with political attacks against him from within the Congress."
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" ... On 20th night, when PV called on President Venkataraman, he had sought the latter’s advice on who should be named finance minister, adding that he would like to induct a professional economist. Venkataraman also suggested the names of IG and Manmohan Singh. 

"IG and Singh had led parallel lives. Both studied in Cambridge, England, both returned home to work in government, both were highly nationalistic in their orientation. While IG was known as ‘Morarji’s man’, Singh was essentially ‘Indira’s man’, having come into prominence in the early 1970s for his role in tackling high rates of inflation. Singh succeeded IG at the RBI. However, while IG chose to leave government and enter the world of academia, Singh moved from one government job to another, acquiring a reputation for diligence, trustworthiness and personal integrity."

" ... As finance minister he got into trouble with the Opposition in Parliament for announcing in his first budget speech that Rs 100 crore had been allocated for the Rajiv Gandhi Foundation. After all, the focus of the budget was on reducing public expenditure to tide over a crisis. The government was forced to roll back this pecuniary gesture to the slain leader’s memory. Singh’s bottom line was his concern for his personal reputation. Each time he was charged with sleeping at the wheel he would threaten to quit. PV had a difficult time handling his finance minister’s thin skin, but stood by him all the way through. Dr Singh had offered to quit on at least three occasions in the face of intra-party criticism and each time PV had to get him to withdraw the resignation offer, reminding him that these attacks, mainly from Arjun Singh, A. K. Antony and the Congress left, were in fact aimed at the prime minister. The finance minister was but the surrogate target. ... "

"A photograph that shows the two seated together with an eager Manmohan Singh looking into a preoccupied PV’s face brings back memories of that historic photo of Nehru and Mahatma Gandhi. Gandhi made Nehru. PV made Manmohan. The latter acknowledged that handsomely at the time of PV’s death, referring to him as his political mentor. When PV died, in 2004, Manmohan Singh attended every memorial meeting in New Delhi—the only member of the CWC to do so."

" ... Once the crisis and the danger of default had passed, PV gave the finance minister a free hand to select his own team to formulate the medium-term strategy that would involve entering into a structural adjustment and fiscal stabilization programme with the IMF and the World Bank. ... "

"Two years into his term, and under attack from anti-reform critics even within his own party, PV was advised again by a left-wing associate to diversify his economic advisers, replacing those with an IMF-World Bank background with those who were more left-of-centre. His response to the suggestion was in striking contrast to that of Manmohan Singh when the latter was criticized for replacing the left-of-centre Deepak Nayyar with the more pro-market economist, Ashok Desai. Singh was famously quoted as saying, ‘The Finance Ministry is not a debating society’. 

"PV had a different reason for not changing the economists in government whom he had inherited from Rajiv Gandhi. He was told, he said to his interlocutor, that these economists were well regarded by the IMF and the World Bank, whose support he needed. ... "
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"In their recently published accounts, some loyalists of the Nehru-Gandhi family have stated that Manmohan Singh was in fact Rajiv Gandhi’s choice and that if Rajiv had become prime minister instead of PV, Singh would still have been the finance minister. One member of Sonia’s coterie has gone to the extent of suggesting that Rajiv had even ‘cleared IG Patel’s name’ for the finance minister’s job! 

"All this afterthought on the part of the Nehru-Gandhi family loyalists is aimed at claiming family ownership for the personnel and policy choices that PV made in June 1991. Within the year PV got an opportunity to prove to the Nehru-Gandhi coterie that he was the boss. In July 1992, Commerce Minister Chidambaram, one of the ministers Rajiv first drafted into government, offered to quit following allegations of financial impropriety on his part in a matter pertaining to the ownership of shares in Fairgrowth Financial Services, a Bangalore-based company charged with involvement in a stock market scam.

" ... prime minister promptly accepted the minister’s resignation. Chidambaram was stunned. More than a message to Chidambaram, it was a message to all his Cabinet colleagues—that they should not take the prime minister for granted.

" ... political leadership of the day had the counsel of a talented and experienced set of administrators, economic policymakers and diplomats to negotiate a particularly difficult year. Astute political management on the part of the prime minister was key to a minority government’s ability to manage an economic crisis amidst fundamental geopolitical changes. This aspect of crisis management and reform does not always get the attention it deserves."

" ... Even those with a parliamentary majority but heading multi-party coalitions had found the task unmanageable. But securing majority support for a minority government while simultaneously implementing some of the most radical policy reforms was a Himalayan achievement. For all that, PV took to the prime ministership effortlessly."
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June 17, 2022 - June 17, 2022. 
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5. July: The Reforms 
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"Opinion was already divided in India between those who sought to tackle the balance of payments crisis through ‘import-compression’ and those who felt the crisis was an opportunity to open up the economy and seek export-oriented investment that would increase India’s export earnings. 

"On his very first day as prime minister, PV told the nation that he would like to see India take advantage of the evolving global economy, rather than shut its doors tighter. While the immediate demands of crisis management, especially the urgent need to avoid default on external debt repayments, required ‘import compression’, in the months to come PV lent his weight to trade liberalization and the reintegration of the Indian economy with the global, especially the dynamic East Asian economies."

" ... One of the worst legacies of the licence-permit raj was to restrict firm and plant size. Joint secretaries in Udyog Bhavan decided the capacity of firms, neither the market nor technology."

" ... All it meant was that such restrictions encouraged corruption. Companies would operate at scales well beyond their authorized capacity and sell the excess output in the black market. Inspectors and taxmen would be bribed. For a firm, this made economic sense. Indeed, this is how many globally competitive firms had been set up. What PV decided he would do was to bring them out of the closet, so to speak: Legalize capacity by removing regulations that delegitimized expansion of scale. 

"Few seemed to notice the radical implications of that sentence in the prime minister’s very first speech. It set the stage for the profound transformation of industrial policy that PV authorized a month later.
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"PV’s predecessor had already taken the decision that India would rather mortgage gold than default on external payments. PV authorized a second round of gold mortgage. The first tranche, undertaken in May 1991, involved the shipment of 20 tonnes of gold. The second round, undertaken in July 1991, involved the movement of around 46.91 tonnes of gold, valued at US$405 million, from the RBI vaults in Bombay to the vaults of the Bank of England in London."

"On 3 July, instructed by PV, Singh called in Commerce Minister Chidambaram and Commerce Secretary Montek Singh Ahluwalia and instructed them to prepare papers abolishing CCS and get the prime minister’s signature. Singh told them that with the rupee devalued the government could afford to displease exporters by withdrawing this subsidy. The politician in Chidambaram balked at the idea. Singh had to then tell the commerce minister that the prime minister wanted the orders issued the same day. By the end of the day CCS was abolished. In an interview given to the Economic Times a few days later Chidambaram defended his action saying, ‘There can be no birth without birth pangs.’"

"In fact, the single most important announcement made in Singh’s first budget speech, on 24 July 1991, was the reduction in the budget deficit. It was a commitment that Yashwant Sinha had first made in December 1990. It was now Manmohan Singh’s turn to deliver on that commitment. The fiscal deficit was brought down sharply from a high of 8.4 per cent of GDP in 1990-91 to 5.9 per cent in 1991-92. The Seventh Plan average was as high as 8.2 per cent. This was, by any standard, a sharp and decisive cut."

" ... Singh was candid in his budget speech: ‘The crisis of the fiscal system is a cause for serious concern… Without decisive action now, the situation will move beyond the possibility of corrective action.’ He proposed a steep reduction in subsidies—food, fertilizer and exports—and also reduced spending on defence, all aimed at bringing the fiscal deficit down."

" ... The Lok Sabha heard him out in silence. The press and visitors’ galleries were full. The nation watched him on television as he summed up his long thirty-one-page speech of over 18,000 words with the dire warning that a ‘grave economic crisis’ faced the country but that the government would take ‘determined action’. 

"The last paragraph of that historic budget speech has since been etched in the minds of successive generations of economic policymakers: 

"Sir, I do not minimise the difficulties that lie ahead on the long and arduous journey on which we have embarked. But as Victor Hugo once said, ‘no power on earth can stop an idea whose time has come.’ I suggest to this august House that the emergence of India as a major economic power in the world happens to be one such idea. Let the whole world hear it loud and clear. India is now wide awake. We shall prevail. We shall overcome."
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" ... Quite understandably, PV’s critics accused him of departing from Nehru’s policies. PV then instructed his aides to quote copiously from Nehru in defence of his policy action. After paying ritual obeisance to Nehru and Indira and the contribution of their policies to India’s industrialization, the statement of 24 July dismantled in one fell swoop the bureaucratic edifice their regimes had erected in the name of socialism. In typical PV style, he made P. J. Kurien, a junior minister, announce this radical policy change hours before Singh’s first budget speech."

" ... It was only after a fortnight that India Today journalists Sudeep Chakravarti and R. Jagannathan got the picture right when they reported: 

"Here is something that Rajiv Gandhi forgot to do as Prime Minister. He talked about taking India into the 21st century but forgot all about the present one and the opposition it may have to the future. P V Narasimha Rao and his finance minister Manmohan Singh got it just right. On the one hand, they sang praises about Nehruvian socialism. On the other hand, they took the country by the scruff of the neck and said move, or we all die."

" ... In September, the government issued an ordinance removing restrictions on capacity expansion, mergers, acquisitions, amalgamation and takeovers that had all been closely controlled till then by the Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices Act of 1969.

"By November, the finance minister was able to seal a deal with the World Bank for financing under its enhanced structural adjustment facility (ESAF) and another with the IMF for a standby loan of US$2.2 billion. As foreign exchange reserves kept rising, some of the more draconian import curbs were eased and procedures for foreign investment relaxed. By February of 1992, PV was able to travel to the World Economic Forum at Davos, the annual gathering of business and government leaders, and reassure the world that India was back in business."

"In October 1991, IMF managing director Michel Camdessus called on Prime Minister Narasimha Rao. PV had only one message for him. ‘I am willing to do whatever is good for the economy, as long as not one worker tells me he has lost his job because of me.’ 

"In the media and in political discourse that approach came to be defined as ‘structural adjustment with a human face’ and ‘reforms with a human face’. ... "

" ... in early 1999, I called on PV to pick his brains for a paper I was commissioned to write for a conference organized by the economist S. L. Rao, at the time chairman of the Central Electricity Regulatory Authority and of the national management forum of the All India Management Association. The focus of S. L. Rao’s conference was ‘managing the Indian state’ and he wanted me to write on the political management of economic reforms in India. By that time several seminars and conferences had already been held in India and abroad on India’s reforms. Economists were busy claiming credit for things that worked and apportioning blame for mistakes made. A new folklore was being generated about the heroes and villains of India’s economic saga. New theories were being propounded about ‘reform by stealth, ‘reform under pressure’ and ‘reform by a technocratic elite’. 

"PV followed all this closely, reading journals, newspapers and magazines. He was amused by it all. All the talented and committed economists and civil servants in government could not have pushed reforms without political support. 

"‘Yes, there were times I was guided by Manmohan and the other economists,’ PV told me. ‘There were also times I had to push Manmohan and others. I had to tell them I will take the political responsibility. You go ahead.’

" ... PV summed it up for me, ‘The political leadership had access to all these ideas. The challenge was not in making announcements and implementing their recommendations. It was in creating the political climate in which they could get implemented.’"
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"For half a century before Independence the economy of British India remained virtually stagnant with an average rate of growth close to zero per cent per annum. In the 1950s and 1960s the economy grew at around 3.5 to 4 per cent, and slowed down to around 3 per cent in the 1970s. The average annual rate of growth between 1950 and 1980 was 3.5 per cent. In the 1980s the economy perked up and grew at around 5.5 per cent. The Green Revolution of the 1970s and rising rural incomes had unlocked what economists called the ‘demand constraint’ on growth that had contributed to a slowing down of the economy in the 1960s and early 1970s. It had also unleashed new enterprise in rapidly growing regions of peninsular India. Investments made over the years in social and economic infrastructure contributed to an increase in labour productivity and an improvement in the output-capital ratio. Consequently, economic growth began to accelerate once again. 

"There are those who believe the Indian economy began looking up at least a decade before 1991. The disputation about the dating of the economy’s turnaround is as much about data and estimation methodologies as it is about personalities. The proponents of greater economic openness argued that Indira Gandhi was not committed to a change of economic direction away from the bureaucratic socialism that she inherited and further consolidated in her time. They charged Indira’s ‘left-oriented’ and ‘statist’ economists with preventing a change of economic direction even after China changed tracks in the late 1970s."

"Prime Minister Morarji Desai tried to take the first step towards creating a political consensus in favour of economic liberalization by appointing a high-powered committee chaired by a highly respected economic journalist, Vadilal Dagli, then editor of the pro-liberalization business newsmagazine, Commerce. The Dagli committee fired the first salvo, drawing attention to the fact that many controls on industry had been imposed by the British imperial government during the Second World War and had long outlived their purpose; that the government’s subsidy bill was rising rapidly while many of the subsidies doled out either did not serve their purpose or had negative economic consequences; and that there were lots of laws on the statute books that were no longer relevant to the needs of the day and needed to simply be terminated. While the report did not call for a ‘bonfire of controls’, as IG would years later, the Desai government fell even before the report’s submission.

"Indira Gandhi did encourage new thinking on economic policy. During her tenure and that of Rajiv Gandhi more committees were constituted to prepare reports that would advocate a further easing of governmental controls, administrative reform and liberalization of economic activity. However, neither really acted on the recommendations of most of these committees, and it was left to PV to walk the talk. 

"Much ink has been spilled by economists duelling in professional journals on the vital matter of dating the turn in India’s economic fortunes. Understandably so, since many professional reputations and careers have been constructed on the basis of rival claims about who was the saviour! 

"Interestingly, opinion is divided among economists who now serve the Narendra Modi government. ... "

"While economists and statisticians argue about data, it is important to understand that 1991 was not just another year for the economy. It was a manifestation of all the mistakes India’s political leaders and policymakers had made in the preceding decades and it was the year in which expectations about India changed dramatically. For all the so-called changes in policy and performance in the 1980s, the union finance ministry’s own annual Economic Survey of February 1990 drew attention to at least four significant weaknesses in the economy: a low savings rate, high fiscal deficit, a widening balance of payments gap and inadequate growth in employment ... "

" ... Much of the growth spurt in the 1980s was enabled by an increase in public investment and expenditure which, in turn, led to the fiscal crisis of the late 1980s. On the other hand, the policy shifts in 1991-92 triggered positive expectations about future growth, stimulating private investment. 

"Travelling to Davos in February 1992, and describing the World Economic Forum as an ‘Economic Mecca’, PV spoke at length to his audience of global CEOs about the new post-Cold War world and India’s role in it ‘as an economically dynamic and politically stable’ democracy. He assured his Davos audience that his policy initiatives were irreversible and would be taken forward because the change underway in India was evolutionary, not revolutionary."

" ... It is true that many of the policies implemented in and after 1991 had been advocated by various expert committees of the government of India through the 1980s. PV did nothing in 1991 that had not already been suggested by someone or the other at home. To that extent they were home-grown. But it is also true that the implementation of many of these reforms was a policy conditionality imposed by the IMF as a quid pro quo for the balance of payments support India sought from it."

"Apart from the IMF, the World Bank and several donor country governments also made their own policy demands. Finally, it is also a fact that not everything advocated by the expert committees, the IMF, World Bank and donor governments was implemented. PV picked and chose what he felt he could reasonably defend within his own party and Parliament. It was his ‘middle way’."
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"The top twenty companies in India, defined by market capitalization, in 1990 were no different from the top twenty in 1980. The only major entrant during the decade was Dhirubhai Ambani’s Reliance Industries. The rest were names that generations of Indians had grown up with. Firms belonging to business houses like the Tatas, Birlas, Bajajs and multinational firms like Hindustan Unilever and Nestlé. The 1990s were different.

"If in 1990, Tata Steel, Tata Motors, Century Textiles and Grasim (Birlas) and Mafatlals were among the top ten, by 2000 all of them had slipped down the assets ladder, yielding place to Azim Premji’s Wipro, Narayana Murthy’s Infosys, Ambani’s Reliance, Subhash Chandra’s Zee Entertainment and Shiv Nadar’s HCL Technologies. Change in the Indian business scene was not just at the top. The 1990s was the decade of churning in India’s corporate sector. Unshackled from the infamous licence-permit raj, first generation entrepreneurs made the most of new business opportunities.

"Economic liberalization made it easier for new business groups across the country to grow. The licence-permit raj of the Indira era in fact facilitated the growth of oligopolies and crony capitalists, especially the Delhi-, Bombay-, Calcutta- and Chennai-based big business houses. Many government reports made this point. What delicensing did was to make it easier for new business groups to flourish, especially those based in new centres of industrial activity like Gujarat, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Punjab-Haryana. The regional dispersal of business activity was an important motivator and consequence of economic liberalization. Apart from the ‘children of reform’, as Manmohan Singh once called them, like Narayana Murthy and Azim Premji of the information technology services business, new business leaders like K. V. K. Raju and K. Anji Reddy in Andhra Pradesh, Baba Kalyani and Habil Khorakiwala in Maharashtra, Sunil Mittal and Analjit Singh in Delhi, entered the ranks of India’s billionaires at the turn of the century.

" ... PV was acutely aware of the fact that the resistance to his policies came from traditional big business groups, dubbed the ‘Bombay Club’ by the media. The support came from new and upwardly mobile business groups."

" ... the policy unshackling of 1991 was waiting to happen as modern capitalism took root in a feudal society transformed by agrarian change and urbanization. Surely this change impacted entrenched business interests as much as it did domestic politics. Reacting to their loss of market clout and political influence, some of India’s traditional business groups—the ‘Bombay Club’—met in Bombay in 1993 to consider ways in which they could manage change. Their principal concern was the takeover of Indian-owned businesses by foreign multinationals. But even as these traditional business groups sought to mobilize support from within the Congress, from traditional Congress bosses like Arjun Singh and R. K. Dhawan, the emergence of new centres of business and of new regional political parties created countervailing power that enabled PV and his reformers to transform Indian society, especially the economy and polity. 

"It is this new political economy and the changing geography of capitalist development that played an increasingly important role in defining the contours of economic policy in the years since. Whatever PV’s critics in the Congress and Parliament may have said in 1991, the fact is that not one of his policy initiatives, taken between 1991 and 1996, was ever rolled back."
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June 17, 2022 - June 18, 2022. 
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6. November: The Party 
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" ... After the long reign of the Nehru-Gandhi family from 1947 to 1989, with a three-year interruption from 1977-80, the Congress was elected to office for the first time in 1991 under the leadership of a ‘non-family’ political leader. Lal Bahadur Shastri, also unrelated to the Nehru-Gandhis, was prime minister in 1964-66 but he did not lead the party through an election campaign. Before he could complete the term that Nehru had won in 1962, Shastri died. He was replaced by Indira Gandhi. A member of the Nehru-Gandhi family had led the Congress to victory or defeat in every single general election since Independence. 

"As we have already noted, if Rajiv Gandhi had not been assassinated, the Congress would have secured fewer seats in the Lok Sabha in 1991 than it did in 1989. It was the BJP that was on the upswing. Rajiv’s death triggered a sympathy wave in favour of the Congress in the second phase of the elections, but even this was mainly in the southern and western states. The BJP managed to gain ground in the north and increased its total tally in the Lok Sabha from 85 MPs in 1989 to 120 MPs in 1991."

" ... N.T. Rama Rao’s TDP had performed impressively in the first phase of polling on 20 May, winning 13 of the 17 seats polled, but was virtually wiped out in the second phase in June, winning only 4 of the 24 seats. Quite understandably, therefore, Rama Rao chose not to field a candidate against PV when the prime minister chose to contest from Nandyal in the Rayalaseema region of Andhra Pradesh a few months later. His election, on 17 November 1991, was near unanimous.

"PV made history when his election saw the highest ever voter turnout in any democracy till that date. PV was elected with 89.5 per cent of Nandyal’s voters turning up and voting for him. This was the highest voter turnout in Indian elections and earned him a place in the Guinness Book of World Records.

"The victory was a morale booster for the prime minister. In 1984 and 1989 PV had had to contest from Ramtek in Maharashtra because the party was not sure if he would win in his home state against the wave of support for Rama Rao’s TDP. As has been noted, in the May 1991 elections, Rajiv Gandhi had declined to give PV a party ticket, forcing him to go into political retirement. By November he was a local hero.

"While PV’s impressive victory in the November election helped stabilize the minority government, it appeared as if the BJP, the main opposition party, chose to support PV through his first year in office when the focus was on getting to grips with the economic situation. PV had advised his finance minister to keep opposition leaders, especially BJP leaders, informed about their policy moves."
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"PV’s first major political move was to convene a session of the AICC in April 1992. He announced that the party would conduct organizational elections in late 1991–early 1992, ahead of the session. It had been a long time—almost two decades—since the Congress had conducted organizational elections. The last time that India’s oldest and largest political party had internal organizational elections was in 1973. For two decades after that Indira and her sons, first Sanjay and then Rajiv, ran the party as if it were a family proprietorship.

"The Tirupati session was historic because it was the first such session after 1966 when neither the prime minister nor the party president belonged to the Nehru-Gandhi family. In 1966, the prime minister was Lal Bahadur Shastri and the party president was K. Kamaraj. PV wanted the Congress to return to a pre-1966 trajectory, seeking a future independent of any one family. Why should the Congress remain only the ‘Indira Congress’? It ought to return to its roots as the Indian National Congress, a normal political party where any member could aspire to rise to the top."

"With Rajiv’s death and PV’s election, the Congress became implicitly divided into four camps: First, the Nehru-Gandhi family loyalists whose power and privilege derived from their service to Rajiv and Sonia. They were the ones who had earlier made sure that Rajiv became prime minister after Indira’s death and they were the most insistent on making Sonia party president after Rajiv’s death. While the formal resolution inviting Sonia to lead the party was moved by PV, among others, the move was pushed by members of the coterie, including Fotedar, Dhawan and the like; second, a north Indian group led by Arjun Singh, Jagannath Mishra, and N. D. Tiwari; third, a group led by Sharad Pawar; and, fourth, a south Indian group that backed PV, actively managed by K. Karunakaran, that seemed to have the backing of the then president, R. Venkataraman."

" ... Over 400 Congress members filed nominations to contest for a seat on the all-powerful CWC. Arjun Singh demonstrated his political strength by emerging as the top scorer in the CWC elections. The other nine to get elected included, in order of votes polled: A. K. Antony, Jitendra Prasada, Sharad Pawar, R. K. Dhawan, Ghulam Nabi Azad, Balram Jakhar, Rajesh Pilot, Ahmed Patel and K. Vijayabhaskara Reddy. Pranab Mukherjee was among the losers."

"PV’s election as party president at the Tirupati AICC diluted the enthusiasm of those who sought to bring Sonia into politics. This weakened the hold of the coterie of family loyalists on the party. On the other hand, it strengthened the position of regionally powerful political actors like Pawar, Karunakaran and Arjun Singh. Katyal summed up the mood in the party by the end of 1991 thus: ‘The rank and file, however, is clear that Mr Narasimha Rao’s stewardship has saved the Congress (I), and that a split would have been inevitable had she (Sonia) stepped into the shoes of her husband…Those who wanted the political resolution to affirm the party’s faith in Mrs Sonia Gandhi merely evoked derisive laughter.’"
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"All these developments were politically significant both for the country and the ruling party. For the first time in years the Congress was learning to function once again like a normal political party. It is interesting to note that in PV’s semi-autobiographical work of fiction, The Insider, ... "

" ... PV’s observations, articulated through the various protagonists in the story, were his way of commenting on his own party. Within a decade of assuming power, Indira Gandhi changed the INC beyond recognition. In 1951, the INC was given the election symbol of two bullocks carrying a yoke. When the party split in 1967, the breakaway group that Indira Gandhi headed, called the Indian National Congress (Requisition)—INC (R)—because a group of Indira supporters ‘requisitioned’ a meeting at which the split with the original ‘organization’—INC (O)—was made official, was given the symbol of ‘cow and calf’. Few at the time made much of the fact that the cow and calf symbol represented the implicit hereditary succession in Congress leadership, from Nehru to Indira. Indeed, even fewer would have noted that this was equally a sign of things to come."

" ... As late as in 1966, Indira Gandhi was the only second-generation leader to step into a parent’s political office, albeit with a lag."

Baru has erred, if history of congress party as such is taken into account. Motilal Nehru had, through Gandhi, ensured in 1930 that party presidentship passed from him to his son, although party choice that year was Sardar Patel. Gandhi did this again by pushing out the elected popular president Subhash Chandra Bose via almost illegal conduct, and then ensuring he was thrown out. 

So Indira Gandhi was third generation as far as Congress Party’s presidential position is concerned. 

"It is possible to suggest that the first step towards inherited political power came when Motilal Nehru urged Mahatma Gandhi to name his son Jawaharlal as Congress president. Motilal did that on more than one occasion and Gandhiji obliged, to the dismay of both Subhas Chandra Bose and Vallabhbhai Patel. While Bose rejected Gandhiji’s preference for Nehru, Patel was too much of a loyalist to question the Mahatma. The Mahatma’s grandson, Rajmohan Gandhi, a distinguished scholar in his own right, records in his book on the Mahatma, The Good Boatman, ‘Presiding at Lahore, Jawaharlal declared that he was “a republican and no believer in kings and princes”, but the succession from father (Motilal) to son seemed to send Jawaharlal’s mother Swaruprani into “a sort of ecstasy”, and there were admiring references to “a king passing on the scepter of the throne to his logical successor”. ... "

That drama was repeated recently in party and family. 

" ... Gandhi, champion of the rights of the halt and the lame, the last and the least, had unwittingly launched a dynasty.’"

Unwittingly?

"It is this seed of hereditary succession that grew into a full-blown tree of family rule in Indira’s time. Dynastic politics took a huge leap forward in 1975 when Indira Gandhi brought her son Sanjay into the decision-making circle of her party. In 1980, Indira Gandhi returned to power as though she had a divine right to rule India. The durbar that had come into being during the Emergency and remained loyal to her after she was ousted in 1977 reinforced the image that she was the natural leader of government. Without inhibition she elevated her son Sanjay Gandhi to the status of heir apparent. Those who resented Sanjay’s bossism within the party and government were sidelined. A new generation of brash, young, socially upwardly mobile wannabes including Akbar Ahmed, Gundu Rao, Rukhsana Sultana, Jagdish Tytler, Kamal Nath, Ambika Soni, Bansi Lal and so on, acquired prominence both in party and government.

"No other national or even major regional political leader had till then so inducted a family member into politics and policymaking. Ideology-based parties of the political Left and Right were never touched by this syndrome. The elevation of Sanjay Gandhi to a position of unquestioned power heralded a new phase of politics in India wherein a political party leader’s family became the core of the party’s power structure. Following this precedent, most regional and caste- or community-based political parties have adopted dynastic succession as the method of leadership transition. 

"Not surprisingly, therefore, when Sanjay died in a plane crash in June 1980 the coterie around Indira who ran party affairs ensured that Rajiv Gandhi, then an Indian Airlines pilot, was inducted into the party’s leadership. Rajiv’s induction after Sanjay’s death happened as if it was the natural order of things. ... "
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"We now know that those in the Indira Congress who were even suspected of questioning this principle (like Pranab Mukherjee), had to pay a political price."

"If Mukherjee had assumed that being the ‘second-in-command’ entitled him to step into the prime minister’s shoes, he could not be faulted. The precedent was set by Gulzarilal Nanda, who was sworn in as prime minister when Nehru and Lal Bahadur Shastri died. So, when Indira died, Mukherjee would have been entitled to imagine that he could at least be an interim prime minister, like Nanda. In his teaser of an autobiography, Fotedar tells us that after Sanjay’s death Indira spoke to him about potential successors to her office and mentioned the names of Mukherjee, Venkataraman and Narasimha Rao. Family loyalist that he was, Fotedar told Indira that none of the three would make the cut. He claims he suggested she draft Rajiv Gandhi. Not surprisingly, the suggestion was readily accepted. ... "

" ... Little would the members of the coterie around Sonia have imagined in the summer of 1991 that a low-profile politician like PV would have been able to demonstrate to the average member of the Congress Party that a provincial Congressman could run a Congress government as well, if not better, than a member of the Nehru-Gandhi family. PV may have had the ‘charisma of a fish’, as Jairam Ramesh put it, but he proved to be a better head of government than Rajiv, in terms of his ability to provide leadership at a particularly difficult period in contemporary history."

" ... The fact that Rao had informally accepted monkhood just two months before becoming PM shows the mental distance from power he had developed. It gave him an even clearer assessment of its constraints as well as opportunities.’

"When the Congress lost the elections in 1996, PV had hoped a Congress-led coalition could still be formed. After all, even Rajiv Gandhi had considered the idea of a Congress-led coalition in 1990 before he stepped back and allowed Chandra Shekhar to form the government. PV had sent out feelers to leaders of regional parties to explore the idea of a coalition. Before he could muster support, Congressmen close to Sonia Gandhi spoke to the media conceding defeat and declared that the party would sit on Opposition benches. Two years later the party leadership reverted to the Nehru-Gandhi family."
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"Before PV at least four senior political leaders—three of them ex-Congressmen—tried leading non-Congress governments in New Delhi: Morarji Desai, Charan Singh, V. P. Singh and Chandra Shekhar. All of them failed. Most of them were in office for less than a year. PV, however, demonstrated his staying power within a year. He did this not by becoming authoritarian, but by being democratic in his instincts, consensual in his approach and, above all, transactional in his dealings. His style of slow decision-making and not revealing his mind often frustrated people. But, over time, it became a new principle of political management—not taking a decision is also a decision. 

"Within the span of a year PV showed that the Indian economy and polity could dream of normal times, of better times; that India would enter the twenty-first century as an open society, an open economy and a normal democratic polity. India was no banana republic in which one family would rule. India was not a closed economy in which bureaucratic socialism would crush free enterprise. India could now aspire to be like many other democracies—a nation built on meritocracy and individual enterprise in which feudal privilege would no longer give anyone an advantage at birth."

"In 1998, when Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee was unseated by a vote of no-confidence, Sonia made an abortive bid to become prime minister. She was thwarted by Mulayam Singh Yadav who withdrew support to the Congress-led government after indicating an initial willingness to offer it.

"In May 2004, when the Congress was once again in a position to form a minority government leading a coalition, the family coterie pushed for Sonia to become prime minister. This time she wisely chose not to. ... "

Wisely, nothing. Has Sanjaya Baru missed the frank admission by Dr Subramanian Swamy telling different audiences about how she was all set to be PM, when he saw her own nomination for herself amongst the (over five hundred or so) nominations individually signed by various makers of party, as he went by invitation for lunch with the then president of India, Dr, Kalam? 

Dr Subramanian Swamy had informed Dr Kalam of the illegality of such a possibility, since constitution of India was particular about reciprocity; and an Indian couldn't be even a municipal official in Italy! 

Thus informed, the president took steps, and as Dr Subramanian Swamy tells, when he called her, sobbing was witnessed; a coterie of Italian friends and relatives, after all, was present, having travelled all the way to watch an Italian enshrined at the position of PM of India! 

Later the speech giving it a turn of individual choice was much publicised as choice, but subsequently the law (against an Italian or another foreigner from similar country becoming PM of India) was, reportedly, changed during the 2004-14 decade. 

Someone on internet argues this change as being independent of policies of other nations (who prevent Indians from comparable positions). 

" ... However, the party adopted a new methodology to select its prime minister. It elected Sonia as the chairperson of the CPP. Sonia was then authorized to ‘nominate’ the head of government.
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"It was only in May 2014 that once again a single party with a simple majority was able to form the government. This time it was a government of the BJP, headed by Narendra Modi. The Congress, led by Sonia Gandhi and her son Rahul, experienced its worst ever rout in history, securing 44 seats in the 543-member Lok Sabha. 

"During the intervening years the Congress Party disowned PV. His name was virtually erased from the party’s public memory. When he died, the party shut the gates of its headquarters and refused to bid official farewell to a former president. His crime: seeking to end the proprietary control of the INC by the Nehru-Gandhi family. PV died on 23 December 2004. In the decade since then the only Congress leader who has regularly and religiously paid tribute and honoured PV’s memory on the occasion of his birth anniversary has been Manmohan Singh—the man whose political career was made by PV. But even Manmohan Singh was unable to honour PV with a Bharat Ratna during his decade-long tenure as prime minister. The party had again become a proprietorship."

Baru isn't recounting here but has done so in his more famous work, The Accidental Prime Minister - about the graceless way the once PM of India was dealth with after his death, by further kicking out of the deceased PM by the party, at instructions by the party president - how she insisted his son not even conduct his funeral in Delhi, but take his body back to Andhra Pradesh for the purpose, with no one from party allowed to be present, much less from government or Parliament. ................................................................................................
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June 18, 2022 - June 18, 2022. 
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7. December: The World 
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"On 26 December 1991 the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), popularly referred to as the Soviet Union, formally dissolved itself. It was the end of a historic era that began on 7 November 1917, when communist partisans, the Bolsheviks, grabbed power in Russia and ended the reign of the Tsars."

" ... India was unique in that it was the only country in the world where, in a couple of states, a traditional Leninist Communist party had acquired power through parliamentary democracy. The communists in Bengal had something to teach their comrades in Europe and Asia: how to hold power through democratic elections."

"To be fair, it was not just the Indian communists, constrained by their ideological straitjackets, who were unable to gauge the extent of change underway in Europe and Asia. It was not just Left ideologues who were misreading the course of history and the turn it was taking. India’s diplomats, whose view of the world was shaped by the Cold War, also misjudged the mood in Moscow and across the Soviet Union."

"Even as late as in 1989, days before the Berlin Wall fell and Erich Honecker, the communist boss of East Germany, was forced to step down, the Indian Left and India’s diplomats remained sanguine about the survival of East European regimes. The leadership of Romania’s communist boss Nicolae Ceaușescu was being hailed in Left journals in India the very week he was dethroned in 1989."
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" ... By August 1991, the world had moved on. PV’s early misjudgement on the foreign policy front was to make a statement in support of the aborted intra-party coup against Gorbachev. Addressing a meeting of the Youth Congress he said the coup was a warning to all those who proceeded too fast with reform. This was viewed at once as both a word of caution to India’s enthusiastic reformers and as a diplomatic faux pas, since Gorbachev survived that coup attempt."

"However, on the diplomatic front it was not as much of an embarrassment as some made it out to be. As PV’s friend, Nikhil Chakravartty, the legendary editor of the left-wing publication Mainstream, argued at the time, ‘No doubt Narasimha Rao’s initial observation…created confusion and could have been interpreted with good reason as a positive gesture towards the coup regime. Yet one has to understand that in the Soviet history of the last seventy years, most of the leadership changes were brought about by some sort of coup, which were legitimised by stage-managed endorsement by the party’s Central Committee. There was therefore nothing frightfully wrong if Narasimha Rao had come to believe that the coup leaders had come to stay.’"

"India was not the only country that expected the coup to fail and the Soviets to survive. Even the United States was not sure whether Gorbachev would survive the challenge. After all, just a couple of years earlier the Chinese Communist Party survived the enormous challenge that it faced in the heart of Beijing, at Tiananmen Square. Just as communist party apparatchiks won the day against pro-democracy elements in Beijing, CIA analysts too speculated that Soviet hardliners could prevail in Moscow, reducing Gorbachev to a puppet. 

"In August 1991, many Soviet watchers around the world assumed Gorbachev would be history. History he became, but only a few months later and no thanks to the hardliners. It was the pro-reform Boris Yeltsin who finally unseated Gorbachev and took the last steps towards undoing the statist consequences of the Russian Revolution."

" ... PV reached out to younger diplomats like Shyam Saran, Ronen Sen and Ramu Damodaran, who took a more practical view of world affairs and Indian interests. As we have seen, the irrepressible and bright J. N. Dixit soon became his key diplomatic adviser. On 15 November 1991, Dixit took charge of the foreign office."

" ... Together, PV and Dixit altered the course of foreign policy, helping India adjust to the consequences of the end of the Cold War, and construct a post-Nehruvian narrative.

"For someone who began his political career in the back of beyond of Telangana’s Karimnagar district, and had spent most of his time in provincial politics thinking about temple administration, school education and land reforms, PV was quick to educate himself about the world. As a polyglot who read widely he became increasingly interested in the world outside. This made PV feel at home in the foreign office and most diplomats who have worked with him even fleetingly recall the pleasure of briefing him on foreign affairs. He was well informed and always ready to learn. A former diplomat’s wife recalls seeing an English-Uzbek dictionary in PV’s hand when he landed in Tashkent on an official visit.

"PV was foreign minister in both Indira’s and Rajiv’s governments in the 1980s and acquired a deep understanding of a world in transition. The new US-China friendship, the entente cordiale in Europe, the East-West détente were all changing the post-colonial world order in which Nehru’s policy of non-alignment had taken shape. While Indira persisted with many Nehruvian ideas in public, she imparted a pragmatic edge to Indian foreign policy—supporting the liberation of Bangladesh, opposing the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, reaching out to Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher. In his own time PV abandoned many Indian foreign policy shibboleths, reaching out to India’s neighbours, recognizing Israel and pushing for nuclear tests."
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"In the Indian subcontinent the tone for the 1980s was set by two significant developments in India’s wider neighbourhood. First, the emergence of Deng Xiaoping as China’s new leader. Second, the Soviet Union’s invasion of Afghanistan and the joint Pakistan-US led jihadi campaign against Russia. Under Deng began the inexorable rise of China. Thanks to Soviet action and US response in Afghanistan, Islamic radicalism knocked at India’s door. 

"Deng blew the dust off Zhou Enlai’s Four Modernizations of 1963 and launched, in 1978, his own revolution for the modernization and transformation of China. The modernization of agriculture, industry, national defence and science and technology were Deng’s four priorities. Deng’s assumption of power was preceded by a rapprochement between the People’s Republic and the United States of America. This altered the Cold War balance of power across Eurasia and the Asia Pacific region. Not only had India’s strategic environment been altered, but Indian attitudes towards nation-building and modernization began to change."

"According to Dixit, Indira sent Foreign Minister Narasimha Rao to Moscow to persuade the Soviets to withdraw from Afghanistan. Soviet Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko called on her, asking her to ‘understand’ what factors led to the ‘Soviet initiative’, as he put it. Mrs Gandhi merely let him know that she had heard what had been said and had ‘taken note of it’. She stopped short of expressing her ‘understanding’."

Did India fail to recognise the threat of jihadists that had been inserted by Pakistan, specifically by Zia, into Afghanistan, leading the country's then president to ask USSR for urgent help? This was part of the Green crescent strategy by Reagan and Kissinger to surround USSR, pursued independently by Pakistan in tandem, as part of an agenda towards world conquest in name of faith to justify its own existence. 

" ... But despite tentative Indian efforts there was no qualitative change in the US-India relationship during the 1980s. 

Seeing the efforts by Reagan and Kissinger to use Pakistan and China towards breaking up USSR, and their disdain for India that was a slightly less virulent version of Nixon's openly abusive language referring towards Indira Gandhi, with a background of the general attitude of colonial racism that expected India to grovel and hated India for not kowtowing, what else could one expect from the then Republican regime of US while India wasn't about to go on knees (- and still won't)? 

After FDR, and JFK, the only US leadership actually friendly to India instead of tacitly or openly supporting jihadist terrorism against India by Pakistan has been Donald Trump, and perhaps to a much smaller extent, Clinton during his visit, but not necessarily before the visit. 
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"In this decade of flux, the external environment was far from comfortable for India. In many ways, India’s unwillingness or inability to think its relationships anew, the rekindling of old suspicions with respect to the West, a new discomfort with an old friend, the Soviet Union, and the changing equations in Asia defined the 1980s. India retreated into an old comfort zone hosting the Non-Aligned Summit in 1983 and building new equations with other developing countries in associations such as the G-77 and G-15."

"India’s investment in South-South links and developing country partnerships were not particularly helpful when it came to dealing with the balance of payments crisis. In fact, in order to deal with this crisis, India’s finance minister, Yashwant Sinha, had to turn to the world’s rich, the Group of 7 (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the US), for help, even if in vain. His counterpart in Tokyo did not even have time to meet him. Japan was busy doing business with China."

And yet, reciprocation from China was to oppose every move by Japan on world political stage, citing WWII history, assumptions underlying being any misbehavior by China was only right - treatment of Tibet and Tibetans being only one glaring example, threatening and attacking India periodically another, treatment of its own citizens an unacknowledged one that includes huge genocide to the tune of a hundred million, and generally bullying every neighour and claiming and occupying island territories, arguing that the nomenclature "South China Sea" justifies China claiming such ownership of everything therein. 

If that were conceded, shouldn't India be conceded ownership of Indian Ocean, and be paid hugely for islands therein, along with passage fees by every vessel and every plane transiting during last millennium to begin with?
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"As that long decade came to an abrupt end, global geopolitics shifted rapidly. India was caught unawares, dealing simultaneously with political transition and economic crisis. While Chandra Shekhar was quick to grasp the implications of the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, Indian diplomats and strategic thinkers took time to understand what these changes in the global environment would mean for India."

They hadn't got it even post Kargil, when Israel was a huge help while few others were anywhere near helpful in a comparable range. Diplomats from India at UN had, nevertheless, despite instructions specifically otherwise, voted against Israel in UN, disobeying orders from the then government of India!
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"By the time PV took charge the picture was clearer. Speaking to the Economic Times in July 1991, on the options available to the government on the economic policy front, a chastened Yashwant Sinha observed: ‘The budget will mark a major departure from the kind of economic policies that have been followed since Independence. Policy will have to be viewed in the context not only of the dramatic collapse of the USSR and Eastern Europe, but also of the decisive victory of the United States in the Gulf War. The impact of these two events should not be underestimated.’ 

"The implosion of the Soviet Union had more than geopolitical consequences for India. It also had profound economic implications at a particularly difficult time. In 1990 the Soviet Union and Eastern European countries that had rupee payment arrangement for trade with India accounted for 17 per cent of India’s total external trade. This share collapsed to 2 per cent in 1992. The sharp decline in rupee trade and the Russian insistence on moving away from the rupee-rouble arrangement to hard currency payments, especially for oil, imposed a further burden on India’s balance of payments. Officials in the ministries of finance and commerce were busy managing the crisis at home as well as the consequences for India of the crisis in the Soviet Union."

"In December 1991, the Chinese Premier Li Peng visited New Delhi. A new phase in India-China relations was quietly inaugurated and resulted, in 1993, in the two Asian neighbours who had fought a war along their border in 1962 signing the historic Agreement on the Maintenance of Peace and Tranquility along the Line of Actual Control in the India-China Border Areas. Whatever the continuing tensions between India and China over the years, this agreement ensured that no more lives were lost along the border in the subsequent quarter century."

That only lasted so long as China’s need for respite until they were ready to strike again, as usual. 
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"The impact of the new turn in economic policy and India’s global economic reintegration on her diplomacy is clearly brought out by the contrasting remarks of two distinguished foreign ministers. 

"In an interview to the Times of India given in 1993, the diplomat Natwar Singh remarked: ‘In my 31 years of service I never once spoke on economic issues. We thought it was infra dig to do so and left it to our commercial officers.’ 

"On the other hand, in the same news report, the foreign minister of the day, Dinesh Singh, was quoted as saying: ‘The work is cut out for our missions abroad. They will not only act as sales offices for marketing India’s new economic environment but will also be responsible for communicating the feedback from the local government and business community. Above all, they should actively seek foreign investment and new markets for India’s exports.’"

It's startling to realise that the latter name is one familiar from late sixties. 

"The export push that followed the balance of payments crisis required India to place greater emphasis on relations with the world’s rapidly growing markets of East and Southeast Asia. As foreign minister in Indira’s cabinet, PV had travelled extensively around the region and was impressed by the development experience of Singapore, Malaysia, the Republic of Korea and Hong Kong. In Singapore he quickly established a warm and purposeful relationship with its premier, Goh Chok Tong, who spoke of an ‘India fever’ gripping the island nation.

"A natural consequence of this search for markets and investment was PV’s ‘Look East Policy’. PV overturned India’s longstanding reticence to dealing with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and actively sought closer links with its member countries. Focused on taking advantage of China’s new policy of openness, Japan neglected India in the 1990s. Finance Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto, the man who had no time for Yashwant Sinha in early 1991 did visit India in late 1991 but no investment was forthcoming."

Baru is refraining from explaining history thereof, of Jawaharlal Nehru and subsequent congress led Indian regimes treating Japan and Formosa with disdain, hostility and contempt, even after the 1962 debacle of supposed friendship with China. This, in spite of  - or was it because of? - history of Japan not only helping Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose in his aim of freedom for India, but the immense regard and loyalty showed him by Japan and its top leadership, especially military. 
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"The outreach to Southeast Asia, through a ‘Look East’ policy and the outreach to West Asia, packaged in a new pragmatism, were shaped by the evolving Indian view that its geopolitical and geo-economic interests spanned a much wider circumference around the subcontinent than that suggested by the post-Independence geographical construct called ‘South Asia’. ... "

If by 'construct', Baru means a made up name to hide reality and wipe of memory thereof, the viciousness of the term is still evident - for it's only what was once called India, regardless of political fividions thereof, for tens of millennia, by those not of the kind and her culture, belonging to it, but were outsiders. 

" ... India had already rejuvenated its ancient cultural links with Southeast Asia, and Nehru had tried to forge post-colonial political links, ... " 

Is Baru unaware of how congress, especially Jawaharlal Nehru, dealt with neighbour's other than China? He'd on a visit to Indonesia told them it was "Coca-Cola land", to which they'd factually enough replied to the effect that they had to accept help where they could find it! 

" ... but it was left to PV to forge new economic ties in the context of the end of the Cold War and India’s own economic opening up. India sought closer economic ties with Japan, Republic of Korea, Taiwan, member nations of ASEAN and even China."

"Even China", presumably, refers to China's vicious behaviour of 1962 and subsequently at least one skirmish at border in twentieth century, latter not very publicised. 
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"Turning to the West, PV entered 1992 elevating the India-Israel relationship to the diplomatic level. India’s economic rise required West Asia’s energy resources as much as India’s growing middle-class population needed the employment and business opportunities being generated in West Asia."

Baru seems uncomfortable referring to Israel. Else why talk of West Asia when referring to Israel? Fact is, that's another area where India, following Gandhi, erred morally and ethically. Excuse given by later discussions and policy was, any relationship with Israel would draw wrath of Arab nations. But most of West has managed it well enough. The kowtowing to Islamic lands to the extent done by India prior to 2014 was a choice following Gandhi uncritically and unthinkingly.
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"India had extended recognition to Israel in Nehru’s time and did have consular relations. It even hosted a secret visit by General Moshe Dayan, the Israeli defence minister, in the late 1980s. But it was in January 1992 that the two countries established formal diplomatic relations. The decision about Israel had many dimensions to it. First, Israel was a potential supplier of defence equipment. With the implosion of the Soviet Union India had to diversify its sources of defence imports; in 1990, the Soviets supplied as much as 90 per cent of India’s defence equipment. Attempts to diversify sources and bring in European suppliers suffered a blow on account of the Bofors controversy. Israel was a new and a good option. 

"Second, India wished to get out of the West Asian trap by maintaining good relations with all regional powers—Saudi Arabia, Iran, Egypt and Israel. Finally, Israel opened new doors for India in the United States. The powerful Jewish lobby in the US held the key to many doors in the corridors of power and wealth along the US East Coast. India was seeking money and a new strategic equation with the world’s biggest economy and the sole superpower. Establishing diplomatic relations with Israel was one more initiative towards that end."

Considering Israel Knesset's first resolution was thanking India because it was the only kind where, for centuries, millennia, Jews had lived with dignity and freedom of worship without any fear of persecution, all due to Hindu culture not persecuting others, recognition of Israel was the least India owed. And a friendly tie with a nation that shared either India the question of survival when surrounded by what US terns "green crescent ", is only wisdom. 
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"PV’s first foreign tour as prime minister was, however, to Germany. He told Parliament that this decision was shaped by economic considerations. The US victory in the Cold War might have turned the world ‘unipolar’ in military terms, PV told the Lok Sabha in September 1991, ‘but in the economic sense it is multi-polar, it is multi-centric’. 

"Germany lay at the heart of the new European project. The unification of the European market would create a new global economic entity led by Germany. That is why, PV explained, he chose to make Germany his first port of call. 

"In emphasizing the emerging global economic multi-polarity at a time when geopolitical analysts were all focused on US military power and the new ‘unipolar’ world that they thought would replace the dying ‘bipolar’ Cold War era, PV was prescient. The US had an exaggerated sense of its military power at the end of the Cold War and got embroiled in military conflicts in Eastern Europe and West Asia, while China quietly built its economic capability. Today’s multi-polar world has been built on the foundations of globally dispersed economic development, especially the rise of China as an economic superpower."

That last would be impossible had US not bent over backwards helping.

"European geopolitical analysts have only recently begun to view Germany as a ‘geo-economic power’, but PV’s remarks in Parliament in 1991 suggest an early Indian appreciation of the changing nature of international relations in the post-Cold War era. To view the world as multi-polar or multi-centric, as PV did, because of the global dispersal of economic power, without being overwhelmed by the concentration of military power among a few, shows a very sophisticated strategic mind at work. 

"In PV’s time, when the US still enjoyed overwhelming military power, only a few scholars like Samuel Huntington at Harvard, were emphasizing the importance of economic power. We now know from Sitapati’s biography of PV that he was in fact familiar with Huntington’s writings and may well have been aware of how historians and strategic analysts were beginning to view the nature of power in the post-Cold War world. Once the brief post-Cold War ‘unipolar moment’ was over, with the US-led fiasco in Iraq, the global balance of power was increasingly shaped by geo-economics. Nothing symbolized this better than China’s rise as a trading superpower."

"Even as he improved relations with ASEAN, PV became the first Indian prime minister to travel to the Republic of Korea. In Seoul, he urged Korean chaebol to invest in India in a big way. In 1991, there was no major Korean brand available in the Indian market. A decade later, Samsung and Hyundai had become household names across the subcontinent. In the months to come India would also take steps to establish closer links with Taiwan."

" ... Building bridges with Germany, Japan, Republic of Korea, Taiwan and the member countries of ASEAN was a natural response of a country seeking to stabilize its external economic profile, rebalance relations between major powers and accelerate the rate of growth of the economy. In the years that followed it was this thinking that defined the role of BRICS—the coalition of middle powers—Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa."

" ... PV took an active interest in the newly-created G-15, a sub-group of the more developed and open economies among members of the Non-aligned Movement, created in 1989 to pursue trade and investment liberalization aimed at promoting their development. PV often deputed his finance minister, Manmohan Singh, to travel the world and build bridges with developed economies. As Dixit records in his comprehensive account of Indian foreign policy from 1947 to 2003, ‘Narasimha Rao’s stewardship of India’s foreign policy in a period of volatile transitions in world affairs would be judged as adroit and successful.’"
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"The Nehru-Indira era in foreign policy was defined by multiple imperatives: (a) the Cold War and a desire to remain outside the military blocs of that era; (b) India’s quest for a global role as a post-colonial nation committed to the empowerment of other nations of the global South; and (c) India’s own development needs. ... "

Baru hasn't either realised it or isn't saying it. Nehru, inspired by and attempting to follow example of Gandhi, 
(- who hadn't been content to use passive resistance for political aims but had instead strive towards an ambitious image as man of nonviolence and more, often going to extreme and often at cost of his own people -),
was trying to carve a niche in global history, build an image of himself as a messenger of peace and friendship, someone who dared to speak against colonial powers of West in general; so much so he didn't see realities close - Tibet occupied by China, Tibetans losing their rights and homelands - just as Gandhi didn't see he was damaging those he demanded extraordinary, inhuman levels of sacrifices from, all without any point. 

" ... This phase began to end in the 1970s. The 1980s was a decade of flux in Indian foreign policy. On the one hand, India would host the Non-aligned Summit and propose universal nuclear disarmament, on the other, it would reach out to the West and quietly build its own nuclear capability. This incipient pragmatism of the 1980s found freer expression during PV’s time and after. Indian foreign policy was increasingly defined by the demands of economic development and India’s reintegration into the global economy. India needed markets, technology, capital. India wanted a quieter and more stable neighbourhood. India had to catch up on the development front with East and Southeast Asia. India needed an assured supply of energy and access to new employment opportunities for Indians in West Asia."

Those were more realistic assessments and aims. ................................................................................................
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June 18, 2022 - June 18, 2022. 
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8. The Middle Way 
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Baru begins by summing up Chandra Shekhar, PV Narasimha Rao and Rajiv Gandhi in context of 1991, giving credit to last two, and saying 

"Rajiv contributed to the Congress victory in 1991 with his life. It was his dastardly assassination that gave his party the numbers to form a government. In that hour of crisis, the diminutive, retiring PV stepped up."

If, living and working in Delhi as a journalist that Baru did then, he was unaware of the 1984 massacre mislabelled conveniently as 'riots' were in fact well pre-planned ahead and involved Congress party members directing so-called mobs, Baru couldn't have been much of a journalist. Else he's avoiding mentioning major factors unrelated to his thesis. 

As for Chandra Shekhar’s stepping down, it was result of Rajiv Gandhi’s attempts to turn him too into a puppet, which backfired. Chandra Shekhar has always been known throughout his life and career as an honest, upright man. He did not place ambition, whether personal or larger, above values. This quality cannot be manipulated by those seeking to achieve aims other than welfare of nation. 
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"Part of the battle between economists was fought on the statistical front. It was all about cut-off years and when the growth curve shifted. Was the acceleration of growth in the last few years of the last century more on account of changes in policy or mainly due to an increase in productivity? Was it rural demand or growing urbanization that made the difference? Were the 1980s initiatives truly ‘pro-market’ or merely ‘pro-business’? 

"Note, however, the fact that many of the economists who were in government in the 1990s were also in government in the 1980s. Why then did 1991 become a turning point for the economy? Prime Minister Narasimha Rao would be amused when told about such argumentation among economists. Whatever their individual claims about their role in policymaking, he would say, tongue-in-cheek, ‘It is we politicians who appoint them. Was it not my decision to induct an economist into my team?’ 

"A few years before PV passed away a former official of the Finance Ministry asked him how much credit he would like to take for the reforms of 1991-92, and how much credit would he give to Manmohan Singh. PV praised Singh and acknowledged his loyalty and his contribution to reforms. Then, in his characteristic deadpan manner, he said to his interlocutor, ‘A finance minister is like the numeral zero. Its power depends on the number you place in front of it. The success of a finance minister depends on the support of the prime minister.’"
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"Finally, PV went on to redefine yet another Nehruvian idea that had been reduced to a shibboleth by Indira Gandhi’s diplomats. Non-alignment was not just about remaining outside antagonistic military alliances. It was not about being ‘neutral’. Non-alignment is ‘an urge for independence in judgment and action, in exercise of the sovereign equality of nations’. As a non-aligned nation India could choose a side in international relations depending on the issue. While India chose to be outside any alliance, it retained the freedom to work with one or the other alliance depending on its own national interest. 

"This was a pragmatic, not ideological, view of non-alignment. After all, in 1962, Nehru was willing to seek US military help to deal with China and in 1971 Indira sought Soviet help to deal with the ganging-up of the US and China on the issue of the future of East Pakistan. The Polish economist Michał Kalecki described non-alignment as ‘a clever calf sucking two cows’, drawing attention to the policy’s pragmatic rather than ideological basis. 

"Linking his economic policies to his foreign policy, PV concluded, ‘This self-reliance must consist in trying to find solutions to our own problems primarily according to our own genius… We reject nothing useful for its plainness, we take nothing irrelevant for its dazzle.’ 

"PV called it the ‘middle way’. PV’s ‘middle way’ is not to be confused with a ‘middle path’. It was not a mean or a median, a compromise between extremes. It was a path unto itself. As PV told the AICC, ‘To interpret Nehru’s middle way as being valid only in a bi-polar situation is not to understand our ancient philosophy of the Middle Way.’"
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"Guiding India through new and hitherto uncharted terrain, in that fateful year, PV became the man of the moment. It is a tragedy of Indian politics that PV’s leadership on the economic, foreign policy and domestic political fronts has not received the recognition it deserves. His own party let him down, on the specious plea that his inaction during the destruction of the Babri Masjid in Uttar Pradesh in December 1992 had alienated the Muslim community. That is another story altogether, and one which begins in 1985 with Rajiv Gandhi and his advisers opening the doors of the Babri Masjid to Hindus who wished to pray there."

Blaming him rather than Rajiv Gandhi was the typical fraud Congress perpetrates routinely, permanently defying two names in India and condemning others to every garbage heap unless they are permanent slaves wearing masks of those two names. And this particular blame laid against him is fraudulent at every one of several levels. His real crime as far as Congress went must have been his being known as a PM at all, instead of a puppet or a joke, despite being neither European nor Nehru or Gandhi or muslim. 
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"For his part, PV is the only prime minister who has left behind an entire book explaining his side of the story on a major issue of his tenure. In PV’s view, as he sums up in the book, Ayodhya: 6 December 1992, published posthumously, ‘I tried to explain all these things to my colleagues, but on their side also political and vote-earning considerations definitely prevailed and they had already made up their minds that one person was to be made historically responsible for the tragedy, in case the issue ended up in tragedy. If there had been success (as there definitely seemed to be, in the initial months) they would of course have readily shared the credit or appropriated it to themselves.’

"The real collapse of the Congress occurred in the 1980s. PV held everything together. He helped stabilize the economy and make the strategic shifts India was required to make in the post-Cold War era, recognizing the nature of the emerging multi-polar world. Of course, PV had his flaws and made his mistakes. Of course, there was much that was wrong with his government. But, in that one year, 1991, he offered quiet, sober and competent leadership to a nation unnerved by multiple crises and unforeseen changes and challenges. 

:From vanaprastha he was on the verge of taking up sanyasa. He was called upon to be a karmayogi. For the leadership he provided in that fateful year PV deserved the Bharat Ratna. It is a sad commentary on this nation of ours that we do not know who our real heroes are and do not know how to honour them."

Baru has elsewhere mentioned him being blamed for mishandling 1984. Neither congress nor Baru nor most people, until recently, are willing to point a finger towards where real abdication of responsibility, if not outright guilt of genocide of innocent, lay. 

But then, how few even name Suhrawardy in context of Calcutta massacres of ten thousand Hindus in three days, as per orders of Jinnah, beginning 16th August 1946? 

Or how often is name of Noakhali mentioned in the real context, of massacre of 150,000 Hindus at time of Hindu festivals, after the Calcutta massacre? 

Instead the name of Noakhali is used as glorification of Gandhi, who eventually nowhere close, claiming he succeeded in establishing peace - and showing how Hindus were dissuaded from retaliation by his fasting. 

Obviously, no such dissuasion of the other side, from massacre of Hindus - immediately, and occasionally thereafter - was aimed at, much less expected. It's continued, including the train at Godhra set on fire in 2002,  burning hundreds of pilgrims to death, including women and children, old and young alike. 

Neither the then PM, nor the then home minister, are blamed directly for 1984 massacre, in Delhi or in Punjab or throughout India - except claiming mishandling by home minister, who really didn't hold power, PM being present when massacre began. So harping on BJP leaders for guilt about 1992, or 2002, is sheer fraud, not merely hypocrisy. 

It's ironical that while they claim he was to blame for alienating a  very appeased minority, they have no compunction claiming to be Hindu and denying the very existence of Rama, categorically and officially, in public! But then they even question the very existence of India, that too in Parliament, in extremely offensive terms. 

Sushama Swaraj replied to the last one, more than comprehensively. But point remains, thst in all but name, Congress had turned India into an Abrahamic dictatorship, introducing a bill that parallelled inquisition - anyone of two later abrahmic minorities, Abrahamic-II and Abrahamic-III, could simply claim a Hindu had done something to displease, and the accused was to be indefinitely imprisoned without habeas corpus, no recourse to law or hearing; smaller minorities, however, were not accorded such rights, nor were Hindus; and,  of course, thus was all strictly one way. 

Even now, when it's about any object of worship of Hindus, anyone questioning or abusing the said object, or Hindus, is considered deserving of rights to free speech- while anyone responding with facts admitted throughout history by adherents of Abrahamic religions is not only immediately questioned but is demanded beheading of, by not just the said adherents, but those appeasing them under a fraudulent label of secularism. That last, of course, is led by congress. 

Refugees in Delhi circa 1947-48 were far more realistic. They had to be. It was their lives staked by those asking them to return and be murdered cheerfully with love for murderers suffusing their beings! 
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" ... 1991 was the year in which the Congress Party grabbed the opportunity to return to its origins as a national political party, and not just one more of the many family-dominated parties. Since then the ‘Indira Congress’ has morphed into the ‘Sonia Congress’. Can the party once again claim to be the Indian National Congress, as it could at Tirupati in 1992?"

Unlikely. 

If once thinkers and honest idealists were deluded into joining the party that pretends democratic values, today its morphed into an honest mafia led by a family ensconced at top that has thrown out every possible claimant including other members of family, as soon as clouds changed. 

"Today the BJP and the Communists are among a handful of political parties that can claim that their political future is not a function of the physical longevity of their current leadership and that the emergence of a new leadership is not a function of their family and kinship ties."

And communists, Abrahamic-IV as termed by another author, are still kowtowing to China when not joining other abrahmics, specifically Abrahamic-II and Abrahamic-III, to attack everything of India. 
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"It is a measure of his modesty that in his own lifetime he never made any claims about either making history or how he would be judged by it. In that sense, he had internalized the qualities of a sanyasi."

"If he had succeeded in conducting nuclear weapon tests in the winter of 1995, as he had planned to, his tenure would not only have begun with a bang but also ended with one, so to speak. In the event, he left the opportunity to test and declare India a nuclear weapons state to his friend and successor, Atal Bihari Vajpayee."

In fact India failed during tenure of congress due to the operating style of the then regime. It wasn't that "he left the opportunity to test and declare India a nuclear weapons state to his friend and successor, Atal Bihari Vajpayee" as much as that the style of functioning of said regime, changing even marginally then, made the difference. Major difference was, allowing those who could, unfettered by red tape and incompetent sycophants. ................................................................................................
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June 18, 2022 - June 18, 2022. 
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Appendix
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Author quotes, here, the address by P.V. Narasimha Rao at Tirupati session in full. 

It'd be good if it were worth quoting. But it's full of the Congress lies, such as commitment to Gandhi and nonviolence (forgetting 1984?), claiming Congress was democratic but people fooled into voting against it in 1977, and more of the sort. 
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June 18, 2022 - June 18, 2022. 
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June 11, 2022 - June 18, 2022. 
Purchased June 11, 2022. 

Publisher: ‎ Aleph Book Company 
(26 September 2016) 
Language: ‎ English
Format: Kindle Edition
Kindle Edition

ASIN: ‎ B01M07P9YN 
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https://www.goodreads.com/review/show/4788081048
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